La scuola delle quote

Tokyo Verdy v Gamba Osaka

Inizio: 2026-06-06 07:00 UTC

Finale: Tokyo Verdy 2–4 Gamba Osaka

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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22 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tokyo Verdy (Casa)

Previsione 46.38%2.16quota equa
EV -4.92%
Vantaggio -2.40%
Kelly -4.68%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.83%46.41%46.42%48.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.941.981.962.0551.55%50.45%51.15%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gamba Osaka (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.55%4.25quota equa
EV +1.74%
Vantaggio +0.403%
Kelly +0.525%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.39%23.57%23.52%25.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.873.804.3228.57%25.87%26.32%23.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.07%3.33quota equa
EV -1.38%
Vantaggio -0.422%
Kelly -0.607%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.14%30.02%30.06%30.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.033.003.2834.48%32.99%33.33%30.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.12%EV -6.77%E -3.37%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.39%EV +1.74%E +0.403%K +0.525%G +0.009%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.49%EV -1.38%E -0.422%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 06:50
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 06:50
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -4.62%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 06:49
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-06 06:28
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-06 06:30
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-06 06:29
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-06 06:30
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-06 06:30
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -6.97%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-06 06:49
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 06:49
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-06 06:50
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-06 06:49
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.10%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-06 06:49
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-06 06:29
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.10%EV -10.98%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-06 06:47
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-06 06:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-06 06:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-06 06:30
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-06 06:29
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.04%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-06 06:49
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -15.21%E -4.23%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-06 06:30
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -10.02%E -5.16%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -17.57%E -5.02%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -11.30%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-06 06:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.59%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%1.0%2026-06-06 06:30