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Shimizu S Pulse v Yokohama F Marinos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shimizu S Pulse (Local)
Prediction 32.56%3.07fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.770%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.67%32.66%32.54%34.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.802.803.0038.17%35.66%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yokohama F Marinos (Visit)
Prediction 37.81%2.64fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.56%37.77%37.84%39.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.452.5643.48%41.11%40.82%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.63%3.38fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.56%29.57%29.62%30.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.093.093.2633.33%32.41%32.36%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shimizu S Pulse (Local): 32.56%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visit): 37.81%; Draw: 29.63%. For Shimizu S Pulse (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -2.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -2.31%E -0.770%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.16%EV -5.85%E -2.35%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-31 04:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.41%EV -2.64%E -0.882%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.20%E -1.25%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.73%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-31 04:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-31 04:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -6.22%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.36%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-31 04:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -6.22%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.36%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 04:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -6.22%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.36%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 04:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -8.17%E -2.90%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -7.74%E -3.17%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 04:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.20%EV -8.17%E -2.90%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.32%EV -10.39%E -4.38%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.48%EV -8.75%E -2.84%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-31 04:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.82%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.36%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-31 04:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.82%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.36%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-31 04:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.82%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.36%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-31 04:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.82%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.36%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-31 04:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -8.82%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.01%E -4.21%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-31 04:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -8.82%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.01%E -4.21%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-31 04:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.82%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-31 04:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-31 04:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -11.14%E -4.74%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 04:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.25%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-31 04:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -12.08%E -4.47%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -7.36%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-31 04:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -12.08%E -4.47%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -7.36%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-31 04:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -13.71%E -5.17%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-31 04:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -14.68%E -5.60%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-31 04:07 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.