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Shimizu S Pulse v Gamba Osaka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shimizu S Pulse (Local)
Prediction 35.33%2.83fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.637%
Kelly -0.995%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.11%35.62%35.31%38.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.542.582.7843.86%39.32%38.76%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gamba Osaka (Visit)
Prediction 36.14%2.77fair odd
EV -0.609%
Edge -0.221%
Kelly -0.348%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.60%35.94%36.15%37.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.592.602.7543.48%38.61%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.52%3.51fair odd
EV -0.168%
Edge -0.048%
Kelly -0.067%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.26%28.45%28.54%29.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.203.5033.33%30.86%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shimizu S Pulse (Local): 35.33%; Gamba Osaka (Visit): 36.14%; Draw: 28.52%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -0.168%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.84%EV -1.77%E -0.637%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%EV -4.95%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.32%EV -2.45%E -0.716%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.30%EV -2.12%E -0.767%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.72%EV -3.86%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.97%EV -9.58%E -3.02%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 03:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -7.84%E -3.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -0.168%E -0.048%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 03:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -6.03%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 03:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.03%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 03:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -2.42%E -0.895%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -2.42%E -0.895%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -2.42%E -0.895%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.03%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.84%E -3.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 03:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.03%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 03:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -7.84%E -3.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.84%E -3.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 03:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.97%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.84%E -3.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 03:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.97%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.84%E -3.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.03%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-17 03:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 03:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 03:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -11.45%E -4.67%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.43%E -4.81%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-17 03:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.04%EV -8.84%E -3.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.35%EV -4.95%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 03:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.74%EV -9.19%E -3.58%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.74%EV -12.17%E -5.01%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.52%EV -10.72%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 03:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.90%E -3.88%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.90%E -3.88%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -11.45%E -4.67%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -9.90%E -3.88%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.82%EV -16.87%E -7.34%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-17 03:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.66%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.64%E -3.86%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-17 03:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.66%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.45%E -4.67%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.66%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.45%E -4.67%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.66%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.45%E -4.67%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.66%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.45%E -4.67%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.66%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.45%E -4.67%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -13.43%E -5.48%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -4.22%E -1.59%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -14.14%E -5.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -0.609%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 03:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -14.14%E -5.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -0.609%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 03:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -15.20%E -6.33%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -0.609%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 03:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -15.20%E -6.33%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -0.609%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 03:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -15.90%E -6.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -0.609%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 03:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -15.90%E -6.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -0.609%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 03:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -15.90%E -6.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -0.609%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 03:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -15.90%E -6.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -0.609%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 03:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -15.90%E -6.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -0.609%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 03:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -15.90%E -6.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -0.609%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 03:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -15.90%E -6.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -0.609%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 03:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -16.96%E -7.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -2.42%E -0.895%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 03:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -16.96%E -7.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -2.42%E -0.895%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 03:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.62%EV -19.44%E -8.53%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -6.03%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-17 03:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.98% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.00% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 1.4% | 2026-10-17 03:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-10-17 03:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.49% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24% | 2.1% | 2026-10-17 03:40 |