The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Nagoya Grampus v Yokohama F Marinos

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 05:03 UTC

Final: Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Yokohama F Marinos

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nagoya Grampus (Local)

Prediction 45.53%2.20fair odd
EV +2.45%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.96%
Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.44%45.53%45.59%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.822.062.052.2554.95%48.44%48.78%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama F Marinos (Visit)

Prediction 28.58%3.50fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.409%
Kelly -0.576%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%28.66%28.49%31.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.123.103.4536.36%32.06%32.26%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.89%3.86fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.288%
Kelly -0.391%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.59%25.81%25.92%26.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.503.8230.30%28.35%28.57%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nagoya Grampus (Local): 45.53%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visit): 28.58%; Draw: 25.89%. For Nagoya Grampus (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV +2.45%E +1.09%K +1.96%G +0.048%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -15.70%E -5.32%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 04:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV +2.45%E +1.09%K +1.96%G +0.048%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -15.70%E -5.32%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 04:06
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV +1.54%E +0.691%K +1.25%G +0.019%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -17.13%E -5.91%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-25 04:06
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV +1.54%E +0.691%K +1.25%G +0.019%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -17.13%E -5.91%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-25 04:06
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV +0.174%E +0.079%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -17.70%E -6.15%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 04:05
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV +0.174%E +0.079%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -17.70%E -6.15%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 04:06
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV +0.174%E +0.079%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -17.70%E -6.15%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 04:06
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV +0.174%E +0.079%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -17.70%E -6.15%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 04:00
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV +0.174%E +0.079%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -17.70%E -6.15%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 04:00
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV +0.174%E +0.079%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -17.70%E -6.15%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 04:05
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV +0.174%E +0.079%K +0.145%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -17.70%E -6.15%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 04:06
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -0.736%E -0.338%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -18.56%E -6.51%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 04:06
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -0.736%E -0.338%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -18.56%E -6.51%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 04:00
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.19%EV -2.10%E -0.978%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.78%EV -8.84%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 04:59
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.15%EV -2.56%E -1.20%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.55%EV -6.55%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.30%EV -1.10%E -0.288%K -0.391%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-25 04:50
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.09%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -7.13%E -2.19%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.91%E -0.777%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 04:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.94%EV -21.41%E -7.79%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.56%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-25 04:06
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -10.84%E -3.47%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.96%EV -7.32%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 04:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.29%E -2.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -4.27%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -2.91%E -0.777%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 04:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -5.29%E -2.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -4.27%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 05:00
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -5.29%E -2.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -4.27%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 04:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.84%E -0.835%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 05:00
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.13%E -2.19%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 04:55
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.13%E -2.19%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 04:59
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 04:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -12.84%E -4.21%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 04:55
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.17%EV -7.57%E -3.73%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.13%E -2.19%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -2.91%E -0.777%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 05:00
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.02%E -3.97%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.13%E -2.19%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-25 05:00
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -8.02%E -3.97%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 04:55
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -8.02%E -3.97%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 04:55
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.70%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.62%E -0.426%K -0.579%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 04:55
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -1.41%E -0.409%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 05:00
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.70%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 05:00
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.70%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 05:00
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.13%E -2.19%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 04:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.13%E -2.19%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 04:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.13%E -2.19%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 04:59
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.13%E -2.19%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 05:00
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-25 04:59
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 04:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 04:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 04:55
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 04:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.99%EV -10.75%E -5.49%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -9.98%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 05:00
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.21%E -5.75%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-25 04:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.21%E -5.75%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-25 04:55
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.21%E -5.75%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 04:57
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.47%EV -12.12%E -6.28%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.49%EV -11.98%E -3.89%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.04%EV -12.75%E -3.78%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-25 04:57
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -12.58%E -6.55%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -12.84%E -4.21%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -10.68%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-25 05:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -14.85%E -7.94%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -2.84%E -0.835%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 05:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 46.94%EV -17.13%E -9.41%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.56%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.50%EV -13.27%E -3.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-25 04:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-10-25 05:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-10-25 05:00
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-10-25 05:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-10-25 05:00
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-10-25 05:00
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.24%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.24%4.3%2026-10-25 05:00