Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mito HollyHock v Yokohama F Marinos

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mito HollyHock (Local)

Prediction 41.68%2.40fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.872%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%41.66%41.70%42.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3548.78%45.51%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama F Marinos (Visit)

Prediction 29.79%3.36fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -0.795%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.33%29.81%29.74%31.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.043.103.2734.48%32.92%32.26%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.53%3.50fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.454%
Kelly -0.639%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.51%28.53%28.56%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.193.153.4532.79%31.39%31.75%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mito HollyHock (Local): 41.68%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visit): 29.79%; Draw: 28.53%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.45, with an expected value of -1.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.53%EV -2.05%E -0.872%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.86%EV -10.94%E -3.66%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -1.56%E -0.454%K -0.639%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 08:35
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.67%EV -3.30%E -1.42%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.56%EV -2.60%E -0.795%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 09:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.17%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 09:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.17%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 08:05
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 09:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.02%EV -7.47%E -3.36%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 09:54
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -7.47%E -3.36%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 08:05
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -7.47%E -3.36%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 08:05
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 09:45
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.55%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-18 09:44
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.55%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-18 09:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.55%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-18 09:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.55%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-18 09:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.62%E -4.70%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.55%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-18 09:45
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.62%E -4.70%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.55%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-18 09:44
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.62%E -4.70%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.55%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-18 09:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.62%E -4.70%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.55%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-18 09:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-18 08:05
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.86%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.60%EV -11.53%E -3.88%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.54%EV -12.12%E -3.94%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-18 09:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -13.62%E -4.70%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -10.12%E -3.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-18 08:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.25%EV -14.14%E -6.86%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -12.13%E -4.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.25%EV -12.12%E -3.94%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-18 09:49
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -14.55%E -7.10%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.36%EV -12.13%E -4.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%EV -12.98%E -4.25%K -6.33%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-18 09:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.