La scuola delle quote

Mito HollyHock v V-Varen Nagasaki

Inizio: 2026-06-06 06:00 UTC

Finale: Mito HollyHock 0–1 V-Varen Nagasaki

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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22 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Mito HollyHock (Casa)

Previsione 50.24%1.99quota equa
EV -2.03%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -2.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.96%50.23%50.19%51.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.781.841.831.9556.18%54.27%54.64%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

V-Varen Nagasaki (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.15%4.52quota equa
EV +0.552%
Vantaggio +0.122%
Kelly +0.156%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.29%22.18%22.11%24.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.104.104.5426.67%24.38%24.39%22.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.61%3.62quota equa
EV -2.25%
Vantaggio -0.636%
Kelly -0.886%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.88%27.59%27.70%28.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.293.303.5432.26%30.37%30.30%28.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.41%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.29%EV +0.552%E +0.122%K +0.156%G +0.001%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.30%EV -2.25%E -0.636%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-06 05:50
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.05%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 05:50
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.95%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.87%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -5.01%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 05:49
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 05:49
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.05%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 05:50
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-06 05:49
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-06 05:49
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-06 05:49
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-06 05:49
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.57%E -5.32%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.98%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-06 05:49
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 05:49
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -9.57%E -5.32%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-06 05:50
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.78%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -10.30%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-06 05:49
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.78%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -10.30%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-06 05:49
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -8.57%E -4.71%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.46%EV -10.30%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-06 05:50
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.41%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -14.40%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-06 05:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.41%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -14.40%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-06 05:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.41%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -14.40%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-06 05:49
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.41%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -14.40%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-06 05:50
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.68%EV -7.56%E -4.11%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -13.62%E -3.49%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-06 05:49
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -16.94%E -4.52%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-06 05:49
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.45%EV -10.57%E -5.94%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -16.94%E -4.52%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-06 05:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.03%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-06-06 05:50