Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mito HollyHock v Urawa Red Diamonds

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC

Final: Mito HollyHock 0–1 Urawa Red Diamonds

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mito HollyHock (Local)

Prediction 24.70%4.05fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.298%
Kelly -0.397%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%24.72%24.74%27.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.653.704.0031.25%27.43%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit)

Prediction 47.29%2.11fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.789%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.66%47.30%47.25%49.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.971.952.0855.87%50.71%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.01%3.57fair odd
EV +0.273%
Edge +0.076%
Kelly +0.106%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.52%27.98%28.01%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.303.5832.26%30.45%30.30%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mito HollyHock (Local): 24.70%; Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit): 47.29%; Draw: 28.01%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.273%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.53%EV -4.40%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.94%EV -8.26%E -4.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.52%EV +0.273%E +0.076%K +0.106%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 06:55
Pinnacle🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -1.19%E -0.298%K -0.397%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.39%EV -3.53%E -1.73%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-17 06:55
LowVig.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -1.19%E -0.298%K -0.397%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.89%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-17 06:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -1.19%E -0.298%K -0.397%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.89%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-17 06:55
BetAnything🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -2.43%E -0.614%K -0.822%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.74%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 06:55
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -4.00%E -1.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 06:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 06:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -12.31%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -9.21%E -4.80%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-17 06:35
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.17%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 06:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -16.01%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -1.64%E -0.789%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.17%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 06:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -16.01%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -1.64%E -0.789%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.17%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 06:50
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -12.31%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -6.84%E -3.47%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.17%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 06:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 24.73%EV -7.12%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.44%EV -7.31%E -3.73%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 06:35
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.19%E -0.298%K -0.397%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 06:55
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -1.19%E -0.298%K -0.397%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -8.26%E -4.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 06:55
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 06:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -16.01%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.72%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 06:50
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -16.01%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.72%EV -2.11%E -1.02%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 06:55
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -17.25%E -5.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 06:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -17.25%E -5.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 06:55
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -17.25%E -5.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 06:50
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -17.25%E -5.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 06:50
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -17.25%E -5.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 06:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -17.25%E -5.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 06:50
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -17.25%E -5.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 06:55
picklebet_au🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -8.73%E -4.53%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 06:35
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 06:34
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -1.19%E -0.298%K -0.397%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -13.46%E -7.36%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 06:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -14.78%E -4.28%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -10.15%E -5.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 06:35
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 06:55
PlayUp🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -6.37%E -3.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 06:35
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 06:55
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 06:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 06:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 06:55
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 06:35
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 06:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -17.25%E -5.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -3.53%E -1.73%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 06:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -17.25%E -5.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -3.53%E -1.73%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 06:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.79%E -3.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 06:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.54%EV -12.31%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.66%EV -15.35%E -8.58%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-17 06:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 24.98%EV -11.57%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.32%EV -10.63%E -5.62%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.69%EV -9.53%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 06:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -3.66%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -10.15%E -5.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -10.37%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 06:55
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.76%EV -10.15%E -5.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.37%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 06:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -20.95%E -6.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.75%EV -7.31%E -3.73%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -11.77%E -3.74%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-17 06:55
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-17 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-17 06:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-17 06:55
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -9.68%E -5.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-17 06:55
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -11.07%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.52%E -6.77%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-17 06:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.4%2026-10-17 06:55
Kalshi◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-10-17 06:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-10-17 06:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-10-17 06:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-10-17 06:50
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.49%1.7%2026-10-17 06:55