Language:English
Mito HollyHock v Shimizu S Pulse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mito HollyHock (Local)
Prediction 30.53%3.28fair odd
EV -0.793%
Edge -0.244%
Kelly -0.353%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.92%30.59%30.43%32.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.973.003.2535.71%33.67%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shimizu S Pulse (Visit)
Prediction 38.58%2.59fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.87%38.59%38.60%40.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.402.422.5046.51%41.73%41.32%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.89%3.24fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -0.856%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.61%30.82%30.97%31.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.993.003.1535.09%33.47%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mito HollyHock (Local): 30.53%; Shimizu S Pulse (Visit): 38.58%; Draw: 30.89%. For Mito HollyHock (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -0.793%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.49%EV -0.793%E -0.244%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.60%EV -6.63%E -2.74%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.91%EV -4.24%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.49%EV -0.793%E -0.244%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.60%EV -6.63%E -2.74%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.91%EV -4.24%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.49%EV -0.793%E -0.244%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.60%EV -6.63%E -2.74%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.91%EV -4.24%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -2.32%E -0.725%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -11.26%E -4.89%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -2.62%E -0.823%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.93%EV -3.31%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-11 05:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.26%EV -4.15%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.47%EV -4.70%E -1.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.26%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 05:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.24%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 05:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.24%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.90%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 05:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -6.90%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.33%E -3.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.70%E -0.856%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 05:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 05:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.33%E -3.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 05:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.65%EV -6.63%E -2.74%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -11.96%E -4.20%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 05:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.65%EV -6.63%E -2.74%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -11.96%E -4.20%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 05:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -13.18%E -5.86%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -9.95%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -9.33%E -3.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 05:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -9.95%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.54%EV -10.48%E -4.52%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -11.35%E -3.95%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-11 05:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-11 05:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.26%E -4.89%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.26%E -4.89%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 05:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.26%E -4.89%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.07%EV -17.04%E -7.93%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.23%EV -11.96%E -4.20%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-10-11 05:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -12.09%E -4.20%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -12.09%E -4.20%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -13.00%E -4.56%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.30%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -13.00%E -4.56%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.30%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -13.00%E -4.56%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -14.53%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.87%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -14.53%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.87%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -14.53%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.87%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -14.53%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.87%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -14.53%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.87%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -14.53%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.87%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -14.53%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.87%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -14.53%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -14.53%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 2.2% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |