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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Mito HollyHock v Kashima Antlers

开赛时间： 2026-04-04 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mito HollyHock (主队)

预测 23.74%4.21公平赔率
EV -3.63%
优势 -0.895%
Kelly -1.19%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.06

博彩公司预测分布
23.22%23.76%23.74%24.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.863.804.0627.78%25.90%26.32%24.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kashima Antlers (客队)

预测 48.92%2.04公平赔率
EV -3.62%
优势 -1.84%
Kelly -3.74%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.97

博彩公司预测分布
47.84%48.86%49.00%49.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.881.881.9755.56%53.17%53.19%50.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.34%3.66公平赔率
EV -2.93%
优势 -0.826%
Kelly -1.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.55

博彩公司预测分布
26.35%27.38%27.26%28.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.333.333.5531.25%29.99%30.08%28.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Mito HollyHock (主队)：23.74%；Kashima Antlers (客队)：48.92%；平局：27.34%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.66。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.55，期望值为-2.93%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 23.78%EV -3.63%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.02%EV -3.62%E -1.84%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.20%EV -2.93%E -0.826%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 04:55
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.60%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 04:54
BetAnything🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.67%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 04:40
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.67%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 04:45
Marathon Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.03%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -5.94%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 04:54
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.06%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 04:54
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -8.03%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 04:44
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.43%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -8.03%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 04:44
Betclic (FR)🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 23.47%EV -7.91%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.50%EV -9.98%E -5.43%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.03%EV -7.85%E -2.33%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 04:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -8.62%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.88%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 04:44
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 04:05
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.14%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 04:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.14%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 04:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.14%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 04:54
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.14%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 04:54
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -8.52%E -4.55%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 04:34
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -12.50%E -3.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 04:55
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -12.50%E -3.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 04:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -12.50%E -3.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 04:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -12.50%E -3.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 04:54
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.99%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -9.98%E -5.43%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -5.67%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 04:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -14.55%E -4.04%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 04:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-04 04:55