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Kyoto Purple Sanga v Urawa Red Diamonds

2026-11-21 05:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local)

Prediction 29.76%3.36fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.543%
Kelly -0.778%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.56%29.74%29.72%30.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.063.083.3035.71%32.73%32.52%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit)

Prediction 44.93%2.23fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.56%44.97%44.90%45.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.822.032.052.1354.95%49.15%48.78%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.31%3.95fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -0.872%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.39%25.29%25.38%26.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.593.603.8230.30%27.83%27.78%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local): 29.76%; Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit): 44.93%; Draw: 25.31%. For Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.30, with an expected value of -1.79%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -1.79%E -0.543%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -6.54%E -3.14%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-14 06:59
1xBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.61%EV -3.87%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.89%EV -4.29%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-14 06:50
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -4.77%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -10.13%E -5.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.16%E -2.86%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 08:34
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.01%EV -5.36%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.01%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.98%EV -3.33%E -0.872%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-14 07:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.25%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 09:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.25%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 09:14
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.25%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.54%E -3.14%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 07:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.61%EV -6.55%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.92%EV -6.99%E -3.38%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-14 06:50
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-14 17:17
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-14 06:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-14 07:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 08:29
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 06:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.13%E -5.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-15 00:00
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-14 11:39
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-14 08:30
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-14 08:30
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-14 07:20
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-14 07:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-14 07:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-14 07:25
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.13%E -5.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-14 06:59
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.13%E -5.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-14 07:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -12.21%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -12.83%E -6.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-14 08:29
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -13.69%E -4.72%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -10.13%E -5.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -16.49%E -5.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%14.8%2026-11-14 07:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -15.18%E -5.33%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.80%EV -11.93%E -6.09%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-14 08:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.58%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 44.60%EV -13.73%E -7.15%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.82%EV -12.69%E -3.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-14 08:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.53%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 45.42%EV -18.22%E -10.01%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.05%EV -16.49%E -5.00%K -7.17%G +0.000%21.0%2026-11-14 08:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 30.25%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.07%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.68%9.1%2026-11-15 00:00
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 30.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.71%16.1%2026-11-14 08:30

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