The School of Odds
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Kyoto Purple Sanga v Shimizu S Pulse

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 05:00 UTC

Final: Kyoto Purple Sanga 2–0 Shimizu S Pulse

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local)

Prediction 45.10%2.22fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.35%45.18%45.10%47.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.842.052.052.1654.35%48.71%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shimizu S Pulse (Visit)

Prediction 26.83%3.73fair odd
EV +0.341%
Edge +0.091%
Kelly +0.125%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.58%26.76%26.81%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.383.403.7432.26%29.59%29.41%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.07%3.56fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.51%28.06%28.09%28.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.263.253.4632.26%30.67%30.77%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local): 45.10%; Shimizu S Pulse (Visit): 26.83%; Draw: 28.07%. For Shimizu S Pulse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.341%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.05%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.41%EV +0.341%E +0.091%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 04:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -14.32%E -7.53%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -0.732%E -0.198%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 04:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.24%EV -2.07%E -0.568%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.16%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 04:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.24%EV -2.07%E -0.568%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.16%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 04:45
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.24%EV -2.07%E -0.568%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.16%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 04:44
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.41%E -0.949%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 04:50
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -8.45%E -4.16%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.41%E -0.949%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 04:50
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.86%EV -2.59%E -1.20%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -4.22%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.00%EV -2.87%E -0.828%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-31 04:55
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 04:40
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 04:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -6.20%E -2.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 04:43
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 04:45
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.81%E -4.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 04:45
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -12.06%E -6.18%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 04:50
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 04:43
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 04:45
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 04:45
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 04:40
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 04:40
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 04:50
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 04:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 04:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 04:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.81%E -4.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 04:55
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -12.06%E -6.18%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 04:55
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -12.06%E -6.18%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 04:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -6.20%E -2.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.52%EV -5.11%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 04:40
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 04:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -9.81%E -4.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 04:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 04:40
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 04:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 04:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 04:45
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.55%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 04:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 46.49%EV -17.02%E -9.25%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.92%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-31 04:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.18%EV -12.51%E -6.45%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.72%EV -12.00%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.09%EV -12.41%E -3.98%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-31 04:43
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 04:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 04:40
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 04:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 04:40
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 04:40
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 04:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 04:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 04:40
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 04:40
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 04:40
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -5.30%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 04:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -6.20%E -2.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 04:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -6.20%E -2.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 04:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.81%EV -12.51%E -6.45%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -15.49%E -4.92%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-31 04:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.61%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -16.83%E -5.43%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-31 04:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-10-31 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-10-31 04:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-10-31 04:50
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.1%2026-10-31 04:55
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.24%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.0%2026-10-31 04:55
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 45.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.87%4.0%2026-10-31 04:55