La scuola delle quote

Kyoto Purple Sanga v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

Inizio: 2026-05-17 06:00 UTC

Finale: Kyoto Purple Sanga 0–4 Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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22 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Casa)

Previsione 26.08%3.83quota equa
EV -1.68%
Vantaggio -0.446%
Kelly -0.607%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.40%26.10%26.06%26.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.513.503.7730.30%28.52%28.57%26.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.32%2.11quota equa
EV -5.36%
Vantaggio -2.68%
Kelly -5.36%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.92%47.20%47.31%48.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.861.941.952.0053.76%51.45%51.28%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.60%3.76quota equa
EV -1.57%
Vantaggio -0.425%
Kelly -0.582%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.69%26.71%26.63%27.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.443.463.7030.77%29.06%28.90%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.77I 26.53%NM 25.62%EV -1.68%E -0.446%K -0.607%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -1.57%E -0.425%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 05:45
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 05:55
BetAnything3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 05:55
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.31%E -3.19%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 05:50
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 05:55
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 05:54
Marathon Bet3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.64%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.19%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -7.43%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 05:55
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 05:50
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 05:50
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:55
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:55
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:55
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 05:55
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.84%EV -10.09%E -5.31%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.19%EV -7.69%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 05:49
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -11.51%E -6.16%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 05:50
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -9.15%E -4.76%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 05:51
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 05:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 05:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 05:40
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 05:40
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.73%E -3.96%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 05:55
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.38%EV -11.99%E -6.44%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 05:51
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-05-17 05:55