La scuola delle quote

Kyoto Purple Sanga v Fagiano Okayama

Inizio: 2026-04-11 07:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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21 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Casa)

Previsione 43.67%2.29quota equa
EV -3.05%
Vantaggio -1.37%
Kelly -2.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.08%43.52%43.66%44.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.112.102.2250.00%47.33%47.62%45.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fagiano Okayama (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.93%3.58quota equa
EV -3.35%
Vantaggio -0.968%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.16%27.92%27.96%28.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.253.253.4632.26%30.76%30.77%28.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.39%3.52quota equa
EV -3.17%
Vantaggio -0.931%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.46%28.56%28.38%29.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.193.203.4132.26%31.33%31.25%29.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (21 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.62%EV -3.05%E -1.37%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.99%EV -3.35%E -0.968%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.40%EV -3.17%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 06:50
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -3.92%E -1.78%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.98%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 06:50
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 06:50
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 05:13
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 06:49
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.98%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 06:20
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.98%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 06:20
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.98%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 06:25
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.98%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 06:25
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 06:50
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 05:14
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 05:15
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.21%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 05:15
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.98%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 06:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.98%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 06:20
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.98%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 06:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.98%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 06:20
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.20%EV -8.57%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 06:33
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 05:15
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.66%E -6.33%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 06:35
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -12.66%E -6.33%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 05:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.1%2026-04-11 05:40