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Kyoto Purple Sanga v Avispa Fukuoka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local)
Prediction 45.64%2.19fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.68%45.65%45.67%46.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.002.002.1152.91%49.96%50.00%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Avispa Fukuoka (Visit)
Prediction 24.39%4.10fair odd
EV -0.745%
Edge -0.183%
Kelly -0.243%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.76%24.44%24.38%25.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.703.754.0728.99%27.01%26.67%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.98%3.34fair odd
EV -4.67%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.80%29.91%29.96%30.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.053.003.1833.90%32.76%33.33%31.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local): 45.64%; Avispa Fukuoka (Visit): 24.39%; Draw: 29.98%. For Avispa Fukuoka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.07, with an expected value of -0.745%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.83%EV -3.71%E -1.76%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.76%EV -0.745%E -0.183%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.41%EV -4.67%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 03:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -3.67%E -0.929%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-22 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.57%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 20:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -6.11%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 03:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.55%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 00:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -9.77%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -6.90%E -3.38%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.11%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 03:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.55%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -5.57%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-22 03:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 23:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.55%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.73%E -4.36%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.64%E -4.87%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -5.57%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -12.38%E -6.45%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -15.86%E -4.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-21 20:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.76%EV -12.84%E -6.72%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.62%EV -13.43%E -3.78%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -11.57%E -3.92%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-02-22 01:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -13.29%E -7.00%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.44%EV -10.67%E -3.58%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-21 19:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.47%EV -13.75%E -7.27%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 24.26%EV -11.72%E -3.24%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-21 20:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.