Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kawasaki Frontale v Yokohama F Marinos

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 06:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kawasaki Frontale (Local)

Prediction 44.70%2.24fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.20%44.78%44.86%47.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.042.052.1652.08%49.01%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama F Marinos (Visit)

Prediction 30.26%3.30fair odd
EV +1.37%
Edge +0.409%
Kelly +0.583%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.60%30.14%30.26%32.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.023.003.3534.48%33.15%33.33%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.04%3.99fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.275%
Kelly -0.368%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.47%25.08%24.88%26.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.583.553.9529.41%27.94%28.17%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kawasaki Frontale (Local): 44.70%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visit): 30.26%; Draw: 25.04%. For Yokohama F Marinos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -12.84%E -6.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV +1.37%E +0.409%K +0.583%G +0.008%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 01:00
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -3.17%E -0.990%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 04:49
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.59%E -0.932%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 05:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -4.68%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 04:55
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.75%EV -3.45%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.78%EV -4.98%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.08%E -0.275%K -0.368%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 05:49
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 04:54
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -7.03%E -3.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.20%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.60%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 04:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -6.58%E -3.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -8.01%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 05:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -10.60%E -5.30%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 04:54
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 05:54
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 05:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 05:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.22%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 05:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.92%EV -12.84%E -6.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.61%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-22 05:38
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.88%EV -13.28%E -6.85%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.51%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-22 05:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.30%EV -14.18%E -7.38%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.21%EV -13.61%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-22 05:39
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.09%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 04:54
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.60%E -5.30%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 05:39
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 04:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 04:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 04:54
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 04:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.88%EV -12.39%E -6.32%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.34%EV -12.25%E -4.22%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 04:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.