Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kawasaki Frontale v Vissel Kobe

2026-10-21 10:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kawasaki Frontale (Local)

Prediction 36.93%2.71fair odd
EV -5.83%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -3.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.62%36.93%36.93%36.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.502.502.5541.67%40.05%40.00%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vissel Kobe (Visit)

Prediction 35.51%2.82fair odd
EV -7.67%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -4.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.51%35.51%35.51%35.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.562.552.6040.82%39.11%39.22%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.56%3.63fair odd
EV -6.30%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.37%27.56%27.56%27.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.343.353.4031.25%29.95%29.85%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kawasaki Frontale (Local): 36.93%; Vissel Kobe (Visit): 35.51%; Draw: 27.56%. For Kawasaki Frontale (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.55, with an expected value of -5.83%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-16 10:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-16 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-16 10:14
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-16 10:15
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-16 10:15
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-16 10:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-16 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-16 10:15
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-16 10:15
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-16 10:15
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-16 10:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -8.41%E -3.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-16 10:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -8.41%E -3.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-16 10:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -11.37%E -4.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.89%EV -13.00%E -5.31%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-16 10:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 33.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 33.00%1.67I 59.88%NM 33.99%76.2%2026-10-16 13:20