Language:English
Kawasaki Frontale v Nagoya Grampus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kawasaki Frontale (Local)
Prediction 53.89%1.86fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -3.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.52%53.90%53.91%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.701.701.8064.10%58.82%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nagoya Grampus (Visit)
Prediction 22.24%4.50fair odd
EV +2.97%
Edge +0.642%
Kelly +0.818%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 4.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.56%22.24%22.17%23.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.154.204.6326.32%24.08%23.81%21.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.87%4.19fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.457%
Kelly -0.604%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.14%23.85%23.92%24.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.863.904.1127.78%25.91%25.64%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kawasaki Frontale (Local): 53.89%; Nagoya Grampus (Visit): 22.24%; Draw: 23.87%. For Nagoya Grampus (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.99%EV -8.39%E -4.94%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.56%EV +2.97%E +0.642%K +0.818%G +0.024% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.45%EV -3.07%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 06:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -5.70%E -3.26%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -2.14%E -0.487%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.50%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 06:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -5.70%E -3.26%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -2.14%E -0.487%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.50%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 06:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -11.09%E -6.72%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -2.14%E -0.487%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.89%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 06:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.53%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.99%EV -2.37%E -0.539%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.48%EV -1.88%E -0.457%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-11 06:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -8.39%E -4.94%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.37%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.50%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -8.39%E -4.94%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.37%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.50%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -7.85%E -4.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -4.37%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.89%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 06:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -6.78%E -3.92%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.89%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 06:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -6.78%E -3.92%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.89%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 06:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.09%EV -9.47%E -5.64%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -4.50%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.09%EV -9.47%E -5.64%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -4.50%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -7.32%E -4.25%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 06:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.50%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 06:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.49%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 06:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -6.24%E -3.58%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.89%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 06:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -6.24%E -3.58%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.28%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 06:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -10.01%E -5.99%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -10.01%E -5.99%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -10.01%E -5.99%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -10.01%E -5.99%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -10.01%E -5.99%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -10.01%E -5.99%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -10.01%E -5.99%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.39%E -4.94%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 06:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.39%E -4.94%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 06:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.08%EV -10.55%E -6.35%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.08%EV -10.55%E -6.35%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 55.81%EV -15.94%E -10.22%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.98%EV -7.70%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-11 06:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -4.50%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 06:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -7.85%E -4.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.28%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 06:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.21%EV -11.09%E -6.72%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.98%EV -10.95%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-11 06:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -5.70%E -3.26%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 06:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -7.32%E -4.25%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -8.09%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 06:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.78%E -3.92%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-11 06:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.78%E -3.92%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-11 06:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.78%E -3.92%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-11 06:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -9.47%E -5.64%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -6.89%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 06:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -10.01%E -5.99%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.28%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-11 06:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -10.01%E -5.99%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.28%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-11 06:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.39%E -4.94%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-11 06:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.39%E -4.94%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-11 06:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.39%E -4.94%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-11 06:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.39%E -4.94%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-11 06:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.85%EV -10.55%E -6.35%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -12.15%E -3.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.28%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 06:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.39%E -4.94%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.28%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-11 06:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.85%EV -10.01%E -5.99%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-11 06:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -10.01%E -5.99%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.49%E -4.08%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -9.28%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-11 06:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 06:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 06:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.40% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.80% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.80% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 06:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 06:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 06:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.96% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.2% | 2026-10-11 06:55 |