The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Kawasaki Frontale v Mito HollyHock

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 07:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kawasaki Frontale (Local)

Prediction 48.89%2.05fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -4.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.07%48.91%49.01%50.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.881.891.9556.82%53.33%52.91%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mito HollyHock (Visit)

Prediction 26.01%3.84fair odd
EV +1.19%
Edge +0.307%
Kelly +0.413%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.85%25.89%26.00%27.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.443.8930.77%28.80%29.11%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.10%3.98fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.546%
Kelly -0.734%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.24%25.20%24.99%26.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.613.553.9028.99%27.72%28.17%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kawasaki Frontale (Local): 48.89%; Mito HollyHock (Visit): 26.01%; Draw: 25.10%. For Mito HollyHock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.36%EV -6.13%E -3.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.85%EV +1.19%E +0.307%K +0.413%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV -2.13%E -0.546%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 06:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -2.71%E -0.724%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 06:55
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 06:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 06:35
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -8.08%E -4.30%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 06:35
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -8.08%E -4.30%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 06:35
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.62%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 05:30
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 06:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -10.04%E -5.46%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 06:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.28%EV -12.97%E -7.29%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.65%EV -11.03%E -3.23%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-01 06:33
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 06:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.42%EV -13.95%E -7.93%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 24.99%EV -12.67%E -3.64%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-01 06:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.08%EV -12.00%E -6.66%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-01 06:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -6.62%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 05:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -6.62%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 05:30
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -6.62%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 05:30
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -6.62%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 05:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.18%EV -12.00%E -6.66%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.68%EV -15.46%E -4.76%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.14%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-01 06:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.