The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Kawasaki Frontale v Kashima Antlers

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 07:00 UTC

Final: Kawasaki Frontale 0–2 Kashima Antlers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kawasaki Frontale (Local)

Prediction 31.62%3.16fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.640%
Kelly -0.944%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.81%31.61%31.69%32.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.893.1037.04%34.67%34.60%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kashima Antlers (Visit)

Prediction 41.47%2.41fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.09%41.48%41.46%42.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.202.3447.62%45.37%45.45%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.91%3.72fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.04%26.91%26.85%27.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.393.393.5530.30%29.48%29.50%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kawasaki Frontale (Local): 31.62%; Kashima Antlers (Visit): 41.47%; Draw: 26.91%. For Kawasaki Frontale (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -1.98%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25%EV -1.98%E -0.640%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.39%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.36%EV -4.72%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 06:50
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 06:50
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.77%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 06:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -5.78%E -1.94%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.10%EV -5.87%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -9.03%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 06:50
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.73%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 06:30
BetAnything🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.73%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 06:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.31%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 00:20
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.31%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.77%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 06:30
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.31%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.77%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 06:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.31%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.77%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 06:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.31%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.77%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 06:30
NordicBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.10%EV -8.94%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 00:20
Betsson🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.10%EV -8.94%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 00:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.64%EV -9.25%E -3.22%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.65%EV -9.60%E -4.40%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 06:33
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.89%E -3.47%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.84%E -5.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 06:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.47%E -4.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.77%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 00:20
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.47%E -4.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.84%E -5.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 06:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.47%E -4.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.84%E -5.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 06:30
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.47%E -4.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.84%E -5.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 06:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.47%E -4.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.84%E -5.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 06:30
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.47%E -4.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.84%E -5.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 05:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -14.63%E -5.42%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-12 00:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-04-12 06:50