La scuola delle quote

Kawasaki Frontale v FC Machida Zelvia

Inizio: 2026-05-17 10:00 UTC

Finale: Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 FC Machida Zelvia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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22 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kawasaki Frontale (Casa)

Previsione 28.74%3.48quota equa
EV -2.58%
Vantaggio -0.762%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.40%28.79%28.75%30.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.173.203.3933.90%31.55%31.25%29.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Machida Zelvia (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.74%2.40quota equa
EV -3.58%
Vantaggio -1.55%
Kelly -2.74%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.94%41.73%41.73%42.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.202.202.3147.62%45.54%45.45%43.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.52%3.39quota equa
EV -3.45%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.35%29.48%29.52%30.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.123.103.2733.33%32.10%32.26%30.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.39I 29.50%NM 28.54%EV -2.58%E -0.762%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.88%EV -3.58%E -1.55%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 08:16
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.17%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:00
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -6.89%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.11%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:20
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.04%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.04%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:05
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.04%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.17%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 08:00
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.04%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -7.34%E -3.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:00
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.04%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -7.34%E -3.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:00
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -8.04%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -9.01%E -4.13%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.29%EV -7.59%E -2.42%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 07:59
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.04%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 08:00
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.04%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.17%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 08:10
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.04%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.17%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 08:10
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.04%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.17%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 08:11
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.04%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.17%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 08:15
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 07:59
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 07:56
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 08:00
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 07:55
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -13.79%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.04%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 08:00
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -15.23%E -5.16%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -12.35%E -5.88%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 08:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.0%2026-05-17 07:56