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Kawasaki Frontale v Avispa Fukuoka

2026-11-21 06:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kawasaki Frontale (Local)

Prediction 49.59%2.02fair odd
EV -4.78%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -5.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%49.60%49.62%50.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.851.851.9260.24%54.16%54.05%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Avispa Fukuoka (Visit)

Prediction 24.21%4.13fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -0.919%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.17%24.23%25.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.753.803.9829.41%26.67%26.32%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.20%3.82fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -0.755%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.48%26.23%26.15%26.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.483.503.7131.25%28.71%28.57%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kawasaki Frontale (Local): 49.59%; Avispa Fukuoka (Visit): 24.21%; Draw: 26.20%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.71, with an expected value of -2.80%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.72%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.98%EV -3.66%E -0.919%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.30%EV -4.90%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-14 10:40
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.80%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-14 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.80%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 12:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -4.78%E -2.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.80%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 12:39
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.95%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.34%EV -5.11%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.71%EV -2.80%E -0.755%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-14 09:14
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.16%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -6.80%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-15 00:43
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.02%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-14 11:39
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -6.76%E -3.60%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.02%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-14 09:20
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -7.26%E -3.88%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.02%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-14 09:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -7.26%E -3.88%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.02%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-14 09:19
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -7.26%E -3.88%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.44%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-14 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.98%EV -7.75%E -4.17%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.34%EV -7.53%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.68%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-14 09:14
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -8.25%E -4.46%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -6.80%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.61%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-14 11:45
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -8.25%E -4.46%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -6.80%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.61%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-14 11:45
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.25%E -4.46%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.02%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-14 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.25%E -4.46%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.02%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-14 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.25%E -4.46%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.02%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-14 14:40
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.25%E -4.46%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.02%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-14 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.59%EV -8.75%E -4.75%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -9.23%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-14 11:45
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -9.24%E -5.05%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.02%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-14 09:20
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -9.24%E -5.05%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.44%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 09:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -10.73%E -5.96%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -5.59%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-15 00:00
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.73%E -5.96%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.86%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-14 09:24
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -10.73%E -5.96%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -17.70%E -5.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -14.85%E -4.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-14 09:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -11.72%E -6.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -15.28%E -4.36%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -9.61%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-14 11:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.82%EV -12.71%E -7.22%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.16%EV -12.13%E -3.34%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.02%EV -11.71%E -3.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-14 11:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.23%EV -13.71%E -7.88%K -18.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.20%EV -17.70%E -5.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.57%EV -12.23%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-14 11:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 49.83%EV -17.67%E -10.65%K -26.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.33%EV -17.70%E -5.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.85%EV -16.16%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%20.9%2026-11-14 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.93%8.0%2026-11-14 18:40
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 49.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%16.5%2026-11-14 11:45

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