Language:English
Kashiwa Reysol v Vissel Kobe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kashiwa Reysol (Local)
Prediction 43.88%2.28fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -3.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.82%43.89%43.90%45.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.102.122.1851.81%47.68%47.17%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vissel Kobe (Visit)
Prediction 28.54%3.50fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.57%28.58%28.53%29.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.203.3533.33%31.21%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.58%3.63fair odd
EV -0.704%
Edge -0.196%
Kelly -0.271%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%27.53%27.57%28.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.323.253.6031.25%30.13%30.77%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kashiwa Reysol (Local): 43.88%; Vissel Kobe (Visit): 28.54%; Draw: 27.58%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.704%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -4.35%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 11:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -4.35%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 11:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.95%EV -4.79%E -2.21%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.64%EV -4.96%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.41%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -4.79%E -2.21%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.68%EV -5.12%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-04 11:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-04 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-02 15:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-02 17:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-02 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-02 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -6.10%E -2.85%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -6.10%E -2.85%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.10%E -2.85%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 11:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.10%E -2.85%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 11:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.10%E -2.85%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.10%E -2.85%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.10%E -2.85%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.10%E -2.85%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.10%E -2.85%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 17:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -0.704%E -0.196%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 11:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.90%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.73%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-02 11:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-04 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-04 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.84%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 10:06 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 10:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-02 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-02 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -8.74%E -4.20%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.704%E -0.196%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -8.74%E -4.20%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-02 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -8.74%E -4.20%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-02 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -0.704%E -0.196%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.704%E -0.196%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 14:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -4.84%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-02 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-05 11:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-05 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -12.25%E -6.12%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -3.46%E -0.989%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -12.25%E -6.12%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -12.95%E -4.25%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-02 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.54%EV -13.56%E -6.89%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.04%EV -10.66%E -3.41%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-02 12:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.13%EV -14.00%E -7.14%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.83%EV -14.38%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-10-02 11:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.44%EV -14.44%E -7.41%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -14.38%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-10-02 11:28 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.70%EV -15.32%E -7.94%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-05 10:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 12:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.31% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.58% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.11% | 16.6% | 2026-10-02 14:40 |