The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kashiwa Reysol v Urawa Red Diamonds

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 07:00 UTC

Final: Kashiwa Reysol 4–0 Urawa Red Diamonds

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kashiwa Reysol (Local)

Prediction 41.93%2.38fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.63%42.12%41.90%44.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.162.152.3251.02%46.30%46.51%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit)

Prediction 32.28%3.10fair odd
EV +2.97%
Edge +0.931%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 3.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.75%32.15%32.24%33.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.912.903.1937.74%34.35%34.48%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.79%3.88fair odd
EV +0.060%
Edge +0.015%
Kelly +0.021%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.64%25.73%25.86%26.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.533.503.8829.85%28.31%28.57%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kashiwa Reysol (Local): 41.93%; Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit): 32.28%; Draw: 25.79%. For Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.97%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.76%EV +2.97%E +0.931%K +1.36%G +0.040%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.08%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 06:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -11.10%E -5.24%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 06:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -11.10%E -5.24%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 06:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -11.94%E -5.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 06:35
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -11.94%E -5.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 06:35
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -11.94%E -5.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 06:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -11.94%E -5.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 06:35
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -11.94%E -5.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 06:35
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -11.94%E -5.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 06:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -11.94%E -5.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 06:35
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -11.94%E -5.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 06:35
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -11.94%E -5.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV +0.065%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 06:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -12.78%E -6.14%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -1.55%E -0.508%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 06:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.77%EV -12.78%E -6.14%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -1.55%E -0.508%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 06:35
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.29%E -0.878%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 05:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -14.04%E -6.85%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 06:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -16.14%E -8.07%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -13.61%E -4.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-31 06:35
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.00%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.00%EV +0.060%E +0.015%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-31 06:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.48%EV -8.17%E -3.73%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.97%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.56%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 05:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.20%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.84%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 06:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.20%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.84%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 06:55
BetAnything🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.20%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.84%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 06:55
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 05:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 05:25
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 06:15
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 06:49
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 06:55
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 06:55
picklebet_au🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 05:25
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.04%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 06:05
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 06:10
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 05:55
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 05:25
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 06:00
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 06:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 06:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 06:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 05:25
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 06:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 06:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 05:30
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 05:25
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 06:53
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 06:05
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 06:05
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 06:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.85%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 06:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.13%EV -12.78%E -6.14%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.00%EV -13.09%E -3.88%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-31 06:33
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 43.52%EV -17.81%E -9.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.02%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.46%EV -13.61%E -4.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%17.2%2026-10-31 06:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.08%EV -14.04%E -6.85%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.55%EV -14.46%E -5.46%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-31 05:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.47%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-10-31 06:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.47%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-10-31 06:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.47%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-10-31 06:50
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.47%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-10-31 06:50
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.53%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-10-31 06:00
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.59%1.5%2026-10-31 06:55