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Kashiwa Reysol v Nagoya Grampus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kashiwa Reysol (Local)
Prediction 56.99%1.75fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -6.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.62%57.16%57.00%58.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.611.611.6866.67%62.01%62.11%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nagoya Grampus (Visit)
Prediction 19.69%5.08fair odd
EV +2.40%
Edge +0.461%
Kelly +0.571%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.58%19.58%19.67%20.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.694.705.2023.09%21.33%21.28%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.32%4.29fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.281%
Kelly +0.365%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.24%23.27%23.33%24.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.933.954.3427.78%25.44%25.32%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kashiwa Reysol (Local): 56.99%; Nagoya Grampus (Visit): 19.69%; Draw: 23.32%. For Nagoya Grampus (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.08. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -9.39%E -5.91%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +2.40%E +0.461%K +0.571%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 09:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -11.67%E -7.53%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV +2.40%E +0.461%K +0.571%G +0.014% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV +0.427%E +0.084%K +0.104%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.62%EV -3.12%E -0.634%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.24%EV +1.22%E +0.281%K +0.365%G +0.004% | 3.6% | 2026-10-17 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.81%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -4.50%E -0.927%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 09:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.26%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.80%EV -5.09%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -4.85%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 09:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -5.48%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -2.05%E -0.487%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 08:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -5.48%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.48%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 09:34 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -5.48%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 09:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -6.46%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.05%E -0.487%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 07:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -6.46%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 09:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -6.46%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 09:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.46%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 09:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.46%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-17 07:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -6.46%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 08:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -10.53%E -6.71%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -6.46%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.53%E -6.71%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -6.46%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 08:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.19%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -2.05%E -0.487%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.19%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -2.05%E -0.487%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.19%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -2.05%E -0.487%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.79%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.40%EV -7.18%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 09:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.15%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 09:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.15%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 09:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.14%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -7.88%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 09:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.14%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -7.88%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 09:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.14%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -7.88%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 09:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.14%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -7.88%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 09:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.14%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -7.88%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 09:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.14%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -7.88%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 09:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.14%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -7.88%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 09:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 09:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 09:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.90%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -7.88%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 09:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 09:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 09:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -10.53%E -6.71%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.54%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-17 09:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -10.53%E -6.71%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -16.04%E -4.46%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-17 09:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.93%EV -14.52%E -9.68%K -29.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.89%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -12.54%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-17 09:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 09:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 09:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 09:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -7.88%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 09:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -13.71%E -3.70%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-17 09:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -13.71%E -3.70%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-17 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.78%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.71%E -3.70%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-17 09:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.78%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.71%E -3.70%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-17 09:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -12.24%E -7.95%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-17 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.51%EV -9.96%E -6.31%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -13.36%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 09:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -14.74%E -3.40%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 09:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-10-17 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 09:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 09:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 09:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.64% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45% | 1.5% | 2026-10-17 09:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35% | 2.9% | 2026-10-17 09:25 |