La scuola delle quote

Kashiwa Reysol v Kawasaki Frontale

Inizio: 2026-05-10 07:00 UTC

Finale: Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Kawasaki Frontale

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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23 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kashiwa Reysol (Casa)

Previsione 44.58%2.24quota equa
EV -3.25%
Vantaggio -1.50%
Kelly -2.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.63%44.60%44.55%46.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.982.052.052.1750.51%48.77%48.78%46.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kawasaki Frontale (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.87%3.46quota equa
EV -4.16%
Vantaggio -1.25%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.62%28.88%28.87%29.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.193.203.3233.90%31.35%31.25%30.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.55%3.77quota equa
EV -2.04%
Vantaggio -0.552%
Kelly -0.757%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.51%26.52%26.58%27.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.433.453.6930.77%29.19%28.99%27.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.61%EV -3.25%E -1.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.16%EV -4.16%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.23%EV -2.04%E -0.552%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 04:05
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.37%E -3.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.75%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 04:04
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.37%E -3.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.18%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 04:05
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.37%E -3.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.55%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 04:05
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -6.37%E -3.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.18%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 04:04
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -7.27%E -3.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 04:04
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -7.27%E -3.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 04:04
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.60%E -4.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 04:04
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.60%E -4.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 04:05
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.60%E -4.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 04:04
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.60%E -4.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 04:04
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.60%E -4.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.51%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.72%E -4.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-10 04:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.60%E -4.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.51%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.72%E -4.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-10 04:05
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.60%E -4.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.51%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.72%E -4.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-10 04:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.60%E -4.20%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.51%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.72%E -4.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-10 04:04
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.09%EV -9.50%E -4.68%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.30%EV -7.61%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 04:03
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -9.94%E -4.92%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:40
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.83%E -5.42%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.43%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 14:14
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.83%E -5.42%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-06 13:09
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.83%E -5.42%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-06 13:09
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.83%E -5.42%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 04:04
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -10.83%E -5.42%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.51%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -5.75%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 04:04
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -11.72%E -5.92%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -14.84%E -5.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-10 04:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-05-10 02:45