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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Kashiwa Reysol v Kashima Antlers

开赛时间： 2026-04-24 10:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kashiwa Reysol (主队)

预测 39.56%2.53公平赔率
EV -3.48%
优势 -1.43%
Kelly -2.42%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.44

博彩公司预测分布
38.63%39.57%39.57%40.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.322.302.4445.45%43.16%43.48%40.98%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kashima Antlers (客队)

预测 31.58%3.17公平赔率
EV -3.05%
优势 -0.995%
Kelly -1.48%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.07

博彩公司预测分布
30.71%31.57%31.54%32.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.912.903.0737.04%34.31%34.48%32.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.87%3.46公平赔率
EV -3.30%
优势 -0.985%
Kelly -1.40%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.35

博彩公司预测分布
27.98%28.87%28.89%29.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.183.203.3532.26%31.48%31.25%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Kashiwa Reysol (主队)：39.56%；Kashima Antlers (客队)：31.58%；平局：28.87%。 对于“Kashima Antlers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.17。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.07，期望值为-3.05%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.63%EV -3.48%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.50%EV -3.05%E -0.995%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.30%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-24 03:45
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.07%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -5.86%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:25
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.86%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:25
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.86%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.86%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.86%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.71%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -5.90%E -1.98%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -7.05%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:29
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -7.79%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.04%E -3.00%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -7.79%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:24
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:15
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:40
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 02:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-24 03:23
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-24 03:24
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.02%E -3.92%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 03:20
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -11.00%E -4.89%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.00%E -4.89%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-24 03:25
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.00%E -4.89%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-24 03:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.00%E -4.89%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.00%E -4.89%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.37%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 03:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.00%E -4.89%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.37%E -3.26%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 03:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -12.98%E -5.90%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-24 03:24
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.79%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-04-24 03:50