The School of Odds
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Kashima Antlers v Vissel Kobe

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kashima Antlers (Local)

Prediction 42.73%2.34fair odd
EV -5.58%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -4.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.06%42.82%42.65%43.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.152.2148.78%46.64%46.51%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vissel Kobe (Visit)

Prediction 29.38%3.40fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.62%29.36%29.37%30.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.113.103.2533.90%32.17%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.89%3.58fair odd
EV +0.140%
Edge +0.039%
Kelly +0.054%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.79%27.82%27.97%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.273.253.5932.26%30.54%30.77%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kashima Antlers (Local): 42.73%; Vissel Kobe (Visit): 29.38%; Draw: 27.89%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.140%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.52%EV -5.58%E -2.52%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.69%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.79%EV +0.140%E +0.039%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 04:50
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 04:48
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -7.28%E -3.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 04:50
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-06 04:30
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-06 04:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -10.28%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.39%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-06 04:39
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 04:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 04:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.28%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.98%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-06 04:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -11.13%E -5.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-06 04:39
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -6.86%E -3.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-06 04:39
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -6.86%E -3.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -9.34%E -2.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-06 04:39
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.34%E -2.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-06 04:39
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.34%E -2.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-06 04:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.34%E -2.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-06 04:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.34%E -2.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-06 04:39
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.92%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.34%E -2.88%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-06 04:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -12.41%E -6.05%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -13.33%E -4.52%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-06 04:39
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.28%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-06 04:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.28%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-06 04:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.28%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-06 04:49
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.28%E -4.89%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.86%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-06 04:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-06-06 04:50