Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kashima Antlers v V-Varen Nagasaki

2026-10-17 06:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kashima Antlers (Local)

Prediction 62.34%1.60fair odd
EV -5.25%
Edge -3.45%
Kelly -10.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.34%62.29%62.29%63.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.471.481.5274.07%67.91%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit)

Prediction 16.01%6.25fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -0.522%
Kelly -0.626%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.46%15.99%16.03%17.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.695.756.0520.00%17.58%17.39%16.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.66%4.62fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -0.763%
Kelly -0.984%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.51%21.72%21.67%22.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.214.254.4625.64%23.78%23.53%22.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kashima Antlers (Local): 62.34%; V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit): 16.01%; Draw: 21.66%. For V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.25. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.05, with an expected value of -3.16%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.81%EV -5.25%E -3.45%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.78%EV -3.16%E -0.522%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.41%EV -3.40%E -0.763%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 06:10
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.55%EV -5.25%E -3.45%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.96%E -0.660%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 07:00
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.84%EV -5.87%E -3.89%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.79%EV -3.80%E -0.632%K -0.758%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.37%EV -3.84%E -0.864%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 07:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.50%E -4.33%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.16%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 07:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.50%E -4.33%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.16%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 07:05
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -6.50%E -4.33%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.96%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -6.87%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 05:40
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.50%E -4.33%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -7.16%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 06:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.50%E -4.33%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.96%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 06:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.50%E -4.33%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.96%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 06:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.50%E -4.33%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.96%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 06:15
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -7.74%E -5.23%K -16.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.96%E -0.660%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 05:30
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -7.74%E -5.23%K -16.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.96%E -0.660%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 05:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -7.74%E -5.23%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.96%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-11 05:26
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -7.74%E -5.23%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -7.96%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -11.20%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 07:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.11%EV -8.37%E -5.69%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -3.96%E -0.660%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.43%EV -6.22%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 05:55
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.35%EV -8.37%E -5.69%K -17.80%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.08%EV -8.76%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 05:25
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.35%EV -8.37%E -5.69%K -17.80%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.08%EV -8.76%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -7.95%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 05:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.96%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-11 05:30
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -19.97%E -3.99%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -15.53%E -3.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-11 06:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.70%EV -10.86%E -7.59%K -25.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.30%EV -18.37%E -3.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-11 05:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.97%EV -11.48%E -8.09%K -27.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.30%EV -13.56%E -2.51%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.73%EV -12.28%E -3.03%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-11 05:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.18%EV -12.11%E -8.59%K -29.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -19.97%E -3.99%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.57%EV -13.37%E -3.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-11 05:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 63.82%EV -15.85%E -11.74%K -45.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.67%EV -11.96%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -9.04%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-11 06:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 62.98%5.88I 17.01%NM 15.74%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.28%8.0%2026-10-11 07:55