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Kashima Antlers v V-Varen Nagasaki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kashima Antlers (Local)
Prediction 62.67%1.60fair odd
EV -5.37%
Edge -3.55%
Kelly -10.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.01%62.72%62.70%64.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.461.471.5172.46%68.30%68.03%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit)
Prediction 15.75%6.35fair odd
EV +2.69%
Edge +0.413%
Kelly +0.487%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 6.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.58%15.70%15.70%16.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.305.926.006.5218.87%16.89%16.67%15.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.58%4.63fair odd
EV -0.305%
Edge -0.066%
Kelly -0.084%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.22%21.58%21.60%22.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.244.304.6225.00%23.59%23.26%21.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kashima Antlers (Local): 62.67%; V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit): 15.75%; Draw: 21.58%. For V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.35. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.95%EV -5.37%E -3.55%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 6.52I 15.34%NM 14.58%EV +2.69%E +0.413%K +0.487%G +0.013% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.47%EV -8.72%E -2.06%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.30%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.51I 15.36%NM 14.82%EV +2.53%E +0.389%K +0.460%G +0.012% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.88%EV -0.305%E -0.066%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -7.25%E -4.90%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +2.37%E +0.365%K +0.432%G +0.010% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -2.89%E -0.643%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 05:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.57%EV -7.25%E -4.90%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -1.56%E -0.250%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 05:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.87%E -5.36%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -1.56%E -0.250%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -6.13%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.87%E -5.36%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -1.56%E -0.250%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -6.13%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.57%EV -9.13%E -6.29%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -1.56%E -0.250%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -9.13%E -6.29%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.09%EV -3.93%E -0.644%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -9.13%E -6.29%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.09%EV -3.93%E -0.644%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -9.13%E -6.29%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.09%EV -3.93%E -0.644%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -3.93%E -0.644%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -3.93%E -0.644%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -3.93%E -0.644%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 05:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -3.93%E -0.644%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -3.93%E -0.644%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -3.93%E -0.644%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 05:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -5.37%E -3.55%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -5.37%E -3.55%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 05:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -5.37%E -3.55%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.13%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 05:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -6.62%E -4.44%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 04:23 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 04:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -7.25%E -4.90%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 05:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -6.62%E -4.44%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 05:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.37%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.11%EV -7.87%E -5.36%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.34%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 05:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.37%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 05:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.37%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -10.38%E -7.26%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -10.38%E -7.26%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.50%EV -11.01%E -7.75%K -26.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.37%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.45%EV -6.62%E -4.44%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.91%EV -7.86%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 05:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.65%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -13.68%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 05:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.09%EV -11.01%E -7.75%K -26.21%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -8.65%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -2.89%E -0.643%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 05:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.51%EV -13.51%E -9.79%K -35.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.11%EV -8.65%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.38%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-12 06:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.44%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.68%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 05:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.44%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.68%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 05:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.44%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.68%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 05:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.03%EV -7.87%E -5.36%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -10.23%E -1.79%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.97%EV -10.45%E -2.52%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-17 05:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.03%EV -7.87%E -5.36%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -10.23%E -1.79%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.97%EV -10.45%E -2.52%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-17 05:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.25%E -4.90%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -13.38%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.68%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.25%E -4.90%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -13.38%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.68%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.25%E -4.90%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -13.38%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.68%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.25%E -4.90%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -13.38%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.68%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 05:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.99%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -13.38%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.38%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.68%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-17 05:22 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.75%E -6.77%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.38%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.68%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-17 05:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.99%EV -13.51%E -9.79%K -35.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.81%EV -13.38%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.20%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.41%EV -8.50%E -5.82%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -14.95%E -2.77%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-17 05:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.77%EV -9.13%E -6.29%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.90%EV -16.53%E -3.12%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -9.37%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-17 05:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64% | 1.8% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.20% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35% | 1.8% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |