Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.82
assuming max odds 4.86
assuming max odds 4.06
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kashima Antlers (Local): 53.22%; Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit): 22.18%; Draw: 24.60%. For Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.79%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.66%EV -7.40%E -4.25%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.57%EV +7.79%E +1.60%K +2.02%G +0.157% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.77%EV -9.22%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.31%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.87%EV -1.97%E -0.445%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.81%EV -0.114%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.34%E -3.60%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%EV -2.41%E -0.548%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.34%E -3.60%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%EV -2.41%E -0.548%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -11.13%E -6.66%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -2.41%E -0.548%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.63%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.63%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.05%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.69%EV -7.40%E -4.25%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.63%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.97%EV -7.93%E -4.59%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -4.63%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.32%EV -5.53%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.95%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -5.74%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.74%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -5.74%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -5.74%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -3.14%E -1.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -6.85%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.28%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.30%EV -6.34%E -3.60%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.85%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -5.28%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 08:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.47%E -4.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.85%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -9.53%E -5.61%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.85%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.06%EV -12.19%E -7.39%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.50%EV -7.96%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.44%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -3.68%E -2.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 08:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -3.68%E -2.03%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 08:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -4.74%E -2.65%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -4.74%E -2.65%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 08:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 08:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 08:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 08:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 08:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 08:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.47%E -4.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -6.34%E -3.60%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 08:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -6.34%E -3.60%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -6.34%E -3.60%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 08:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -7.93%E -4.59%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -7.93%E -4.59%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.03%EV -10.59%E -6.31%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -12.39%E -3.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -13.50%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -7.93%E -4.59%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.50%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -7.93%E -4.59%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.50%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -7.93%E -4.59%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.50%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -7.93%E -4.59%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.50%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -7.93%E -4.59%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -13.50%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -16.83%E -4.49%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.09% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.78% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 1.6% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 1.6% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 1.6% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |