La scuola delle quote

Kashima Antlers v Urawa Red Diamonds

Inizio: 2026-04-18 05:00 UTC

Finale: Kashima Antlers 1–0 Urawa Red Diamonds

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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22 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kashima Antlers (Casa)

Previsione 47.02%2.13quota equa
EV -5.01%
Vantaggio -2.48%
Kelly -4.91%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.81%47.00%47.07%47.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.861.951.952.0253.76%51.19%51.28%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Urawa Red Diamonds (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.00%3.85quota equa
EV -3.53%
Vantaggio -0.952%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.40%26.02%26.03%26.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.533.563.7130.30%28.36%28.05%26.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.97%3.71quota equa
EV +0.342%
Vantaggio +0.092%
Kelly +0.126%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.01%26.98%26.90%28.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.363.333.7231.25%29.72%30.08%26.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.90%EV -5.01%E -2.48%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.08%EV -3.53%E -0.952%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.01%EV +0.342%E +0.092%K +0.126%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 04:45
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.24%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 04:55
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -9.71%E -5.06%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 04:25
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 04:50
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.89%EV -6.42%E -3.23%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.91%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 04:55
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 04:25
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 04:25
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 04:50
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.55%EV -10.18%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.73%EV -8.21%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 04:32
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -11.59%E -6.17%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 04:35
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -12.53%E -6.74%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -9.64%E -2.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 04:25
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.95%E -2.98%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.99%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 04:50
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.99%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 04:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.99%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 04:55
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.99%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 04:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.99%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 04:55
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.99%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 04:50
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.99%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 04:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.68%E -4.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 04:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.68%E -4.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 04:50
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.68%E -4.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 04:50
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.68%E -4.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 04:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%3.0%2026-04-18 04:55