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Kashima Antlers v Tokyo Verdy
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kashima Antlers (Local)
Prediction 51.62%1.94fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.22%51.58%51.49%52.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.781.801.8859.52%56.10%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tokyo Verdy (Visit)
Prediction 21.20%4.72fair odd
EV +0.679%
Edge +0.143%
Kelly +0.181%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.68%21.19%21.32%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.274.254.7525.32%23.40%23.53%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.18%3.68fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -0.831%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.30%27.23%27.19%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.343.403.5731.25%29.94%29.41%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kashima Antlers (Local): 51.62%; Tokyo Verdy (Visit): 21.20%; Draw: 27.18%. For Tokyo Verdy (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.679%.
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -8.63%E -4.87%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV +0.679%E +0.143%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 06:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.43%EV -2.95%E -1.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV -4.62%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV -2.97%E -0.831%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 06:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.44%EV -8.11%E -4.56%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.62%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -5.41%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 06:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -4.62%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 06:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.23%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 06:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.23%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 06:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.23%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 06:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -7.80%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 06:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -7.80%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 06:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.58%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -8.22%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 06:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.30%EV -13.27%E -7.90%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.67%EV -9.92%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.03%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-07 06:41 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.98%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 06:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.98%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 06:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.98%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 06:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.98%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 06:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -9.14%E -5.19%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -13.10%E -3.19%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.23%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 06:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.54%EV -12.76%E -7.55%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.24%EV -13.10%E -3.19%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-07 06:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.26%EV -12.24%E -7.20%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.51%EV -14.16%E -3.50%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-07 06:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -15.22%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 06:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -15.22%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 06:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.11%EV -11.21%E -6.52%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -16.28%E -4.12%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-07 06:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.