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Kashima Antlers v Kawasaki Frontale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kashima Antlers (Local)
Prediction 48.63%2.06fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.79%48.60%48.64%49.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.881.901.9856.50%53.25%52.63%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kawasaki Frontale (Visit)
Prediction 25.26%3.96fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -0.872%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.46%25.23%25.32%26.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.603.603.8629.85%27.79%27.78%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.11%3.83fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%26.17%26.03%27.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.463.403.6830.30%28.88%29.41%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kashima Antlers (Local): 48.63%; Kawasaki Frontale (Visit): 25.26%; Draw: 26.11%. For Kawasaki Frontale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.86, with an expected value of -2.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.76%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.01%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.23%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 05:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -5.27%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.70%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 05:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.59%EV -6.63%E -3.45%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.04%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 05:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.27%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 05:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.27%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 05:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.27%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 05:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 05:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 05:43 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 05:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 05:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -7.60%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.80%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.31%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 05:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -7.60%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.80%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.31%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 05:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.01%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 05:41 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 05:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -9.55%E -5.13%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -4.70%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 05:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.03%E -5.42%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-14 05:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.03%E -5.42%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-14 05:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.03%E -5.42%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-14 05:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.03%E -5.42%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-14 05:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -11.49%E -6.32%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -15.38%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-14 05:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.82%EV -12.47%E -6.93%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.33%EV -12.34%E -3.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-14 05:41 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.85%EV -13.44%E -7.55%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -12.85%E -3.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -12.53%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-14 05:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.10%EV -13.92%E -7.87%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.19%EV -12.85%E -3.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.71%EV -11.75%E -3.48%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-14 05:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.