Language:English
Kashima Antlers v Gamba Osaka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kashima Antlers (Local)
Prediction 50.88%1.97fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -5.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.64%51.09%50.78%54.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.781.801.8759.88%56.33%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gamba Osaka (Visit)
Prediction 24.55%4.07fair odd
EV +6.78%
Edge +1.56%
Kelly +2.03%
Growth +0.137%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.32%24.32%24.66%25.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.883.804.3529.41%25.78%26.32%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.57%4.07fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -0.683%
Kelly -0.914%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.05%24.58%24.55%25.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.743.803.9628.57%26.71%26.32%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kashima Antlers (Local): 50.88%; Gamba Osaka (Visit): 24.55%; Draw: 24.57%. For Gamba Osaka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -12.48%E -7.26%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +6.78%E +1.56%K +2.03%G +0.137% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -5.41%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 11:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -12.48%E -7.26%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +6.78%E +1.56%K +2.03%G +0.137% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -5.41%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.57%EV -13.50%E -7.94%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.33%EV +6.78%E +1.56%K +2.03%G +0.137% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.41%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-04 11:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.57%EV -13.50%E -7.94%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.33%EV +6.78%E +1.56%K +2.03%G +0.137% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.41%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-04 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -14.52%E -8.64%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV +5.56%E +1.29%K +1.68%G +0.094% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 11:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -14.52%E -8.64%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV +5.56%E +1.29%K +1.68%G +0.094% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 11:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -14.52%E -8.64%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV +5.56%E +1.29%K +1.68%G +0.094% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -14.52%E -8.64%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV +5.56%E +1.29%K +1.68%G +0.094% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -14.52%E -8.64%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV +5.56%E +1.29%K +1.68%G +0.094% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -14.52%E -8.64%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV +5.56%E +1.29%K +1.68%G +0.094% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -14.52%E -8.64%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV +5.56%E +1.29%K +1.68%G +0.094% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.40%EV -15.03%E -9.00%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV +4.33%E +1.02%K +1.33%G +0.058% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-04 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.40%EV -15.03%E -9.00%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV +4.33%E +1.02%K +1.33%G +0.058% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-04 11:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.84%EV -2.30%E -0.578%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -4.18%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.15%EV -2.79%E -0.705%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.15%EV -2.70%E -0.683%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.29%EV -6.38%E -3.47%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.26%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.41%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.29%EV -6.38%E -3.47%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.26%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.41%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -9.94%E -5.61%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -4.26%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.13%EV -5.24%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.13%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -5.49%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -5.41%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -4.18%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -4.18%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.18%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.41%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 10:06 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 18:13 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.95%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.30%EV -6.38%E -3.47%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -7.95%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -9.09%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.17%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -9.17%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -9.09%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 08:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.17%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -7.90%E -4.37%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -9.17%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -7.39%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.17%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -7.39%E -4.06%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.17%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -11.63%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14%EV -12.48%E -7.26%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -11.63%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-05 10:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.36%EV -11.46%E -6.59%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 24.82%EV -13.35%E -3.78%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 24.82%EV -13.27%E -3.76%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-05 04:33 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.26%EV -9.43%E -5.30%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.08%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -9.09%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.08%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-05 11:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.08%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-05 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.08%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.08%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.02%EV -10.45%E -5.94%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -15.31%E -4.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -16.54%E -4.86%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -14.01%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-05 08:16 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29% | 2.9% | 2026-10-05 15:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.23% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.20% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.57% | 16.7% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |