La scuola delle quote

Kashima Antlers v FC Machida Zelvia

Inizio: 2026-05-03 07:00 UTC

Finale: Kashima Antlers 1–1 FC Machida Zelvia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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23 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kashima Antlers (Casa)

Previsione 40.69%2.46quota equa
EV -1.52%
Vantaggio -0.629%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.20%40.63%40.67%41.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.272.282.4246.51%44.09%43.86%41.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Machida Zelvia (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.24%3.54quota equa
EV +0.261%
Vantaggio +0.074%
Kelly +0.102%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.26%28.28%28.23%29.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.233.253.5533.33%30.99%30.77%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.06%3.22quota equa
EV -3.70%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -1.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.74%31.10%31.10%31.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.872.952.953.1034.84%33.90%33.90%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.01%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.26%EV +0.261%E +0.074%K +0.102%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -5.26%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 06:50
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 05:50
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.27%EV -8.03%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.39%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.19%E -2.05%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 06:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 06:00
BetAnything2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -1.52%E -0.629%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 06:55
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -7.22%E -3.17%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.43%E -2.49%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 06:00
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -7.22%E -3.17%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.43%E -2.49%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 06:00
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 06:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 06:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 06:51
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 06:50
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 06:50
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 06:55
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.95%EV -9.66%E -4.35%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.23%EV -9.06%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 06:35
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 06:55
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 06:55
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -12.51%E -5.82%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 06:35
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.04%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 06:01
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.45%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 06:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.45%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 06:54
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.45%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.85%E -3.78%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.45%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.85%E -3.78%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 06:55
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -12.51%E -5.82%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -15.27%E -5.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 06:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12%3.0%2026-05-03 06:55