The School of Odds
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Kashima Antlers v Cerezo Osaka

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 06:00 UTC

Final: Kashima Antlers 4–1 Cerezo Osaka

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kashima Antlers (Local)

Prediction 56.50%1.77fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.44%56.47%56.57%58.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.641.651.7266.67%60.82%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cerezo Osaka (Visit)

Prediction 19.78%5.06fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.301%
Kelly -0.376%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.57%19.87%19.74%21.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.514.404.9824.39%22.20%22.73%20.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.72%4.22fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.436%
Kelly -0.575%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%23.66%23.69%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.853.854.1427.78%25.94%25.97%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kashima Antlers (Local): 56.50%; Cerezo Osaka (Visit): 19.78%; Draw: 23.72%. For Cerezo Osaka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.98, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -13.96%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 05:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -13.96%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 05:35
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.44%EV -3.95%E -2.32%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -14.95%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -8.68%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 05:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.44%EV -3.95%E -2.32%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -14.95%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -8.68%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 05:35
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%EV -4.51%E -2.67%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.42%EV -1.50%E -0.301%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.36%EV -1.81%E -0.436%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-31 05:40
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.49%EV -5.08%E -3.02%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.61%EV -4.27%E -0.882%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.90%EV -5.84%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 05:55
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.92%EV -5.08%E -3.02%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -7.04%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 05:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%EV -5.08%E -3.02%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -14.95%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.68%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 05:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%EV -5.08%E -3.02%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -14.95%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.68%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 05:35
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%EV -5.08%E -3.02%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -14.95%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.68%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 05:35
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%EV -5.08%E -3.02%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -14.95%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.68%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 05:35
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%EV -5.08%E -3.02%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -14.95%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.68%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 05:35
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%EV -5.08%E -3.02%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -14.95%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.68%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 05:35
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%EV -5.08%E -3.02%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -14.95%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.68%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 05:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.20%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV -3.08%E -0.629%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -2.75%E -0.672%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 05:55
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.20%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV -3.08%E -0.629%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -2.75%E -0.672%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 05:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.08%E -0.629%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 05:40
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.06%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 05:33
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -6.05%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 05:55
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.05%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 05:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.57%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -15.94%E -3.75%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 05:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.57%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -15.94%E -3.75%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 05:35
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -7.04%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 05:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.05%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 05:40
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -6.05%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 05:55
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.97%E -2.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 05:25
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.97%E -2.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.97%E -2.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 05:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.97%E -2.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 05:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.04%EV -7.90%E -4.85%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.00%EV -8.02%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -3.94%E -0.973%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 05:35
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -7.90%E -4.85%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.05%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -8.68%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 05:35
picklebet_au🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -7.90%E -4.85%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -9.01%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 05:40
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -7.90%E -4.85%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -9.01%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -8.68%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 05:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -12.97%E -2.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -6.31%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 05:40
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -9.01%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 05:40
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -9.01%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 05:55
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -10.99%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 05:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -10.99%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 05:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.99%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.00%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -12.97%E -2.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 05:30
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.00%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -12.97%E -2.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 05:30
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.06%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 05:33
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -12.97%E -2.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 05:30
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -12.97%E -2.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 05:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.53%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -18.90%E -4.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -13.43%E -3.68%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-31 05:35
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -14.35%E -3.32%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 05:55
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -14.35%E -3.32%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 05:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.94%EV -11.29%E -7.19%K -19.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.19%EV -13.96%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.87%EV -12.72%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-31 05:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.66%EV -11.86%E -7.60%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.18%EV -18.90%E -4.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-31 05:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.69%EV -12.42%E -8.01%K -22.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -3.08%E -0.629%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-31 05:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 56.95%EV -15.25%E -10.16%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.64%EV -13.96%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.41%EV -13.43%E -3.68%K -5.07%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-31 05:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.11%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-10-31 05:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.11%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-10-31 05:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.11%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-10-31 05:55
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.11%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-10-31 05:55
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.25%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%1.6%2026-10-31 05:55
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-10-31 05:55