Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kashima Antlers v Cerezo Osaka

2026-10-31 06:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kashima Antlers (Local)

Prediction 54.57%1.83fair odd
EV -5.60%
Edge -3.24%
Kelly -7.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.41%54.52%54.64%55.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.681.691.7364.52%59.46%59.17%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cerezo Osaka (Visit)

Prediction 22.03%4.54fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -0.694%
Kelly -0.898%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.26%22.07%21.99%23.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.174.204.4026.32%24.00%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.40%4.27fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.410%
Kelly -0.538%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.73%23.41%23.38%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.893.884.2027.78%25.68%25.81%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kashima Antlers (Local): 54.57%; Cerezo Osaka (Visit): 22.03%; Draw: 23.40%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -1.72%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.88%EV -3.93%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV -2.89%E -0.696%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 07:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.40%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 11:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.40%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 10:59
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.54%EV -6.15%E -3.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.05%E -0.694%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%EV -1.72%E -0.410%K -0.538%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 06:24
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.14%EV -6.15%E -3.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -3.05%E -0.694%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.30%EV -4.76%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 07:20
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.08%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 07:40
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.08%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 07:41
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.08%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 07:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.08%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 07:40
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -9.66%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.08%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 06:25
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -9.66%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.08%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 06:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.87%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.08%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 06:25
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -7.78%E -4.60%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -3.05%E -0.694%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.40%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 06:25
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -7.78%E -4.60%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -3.05%E -0.694%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.40%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 06:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.10%EV -7.78%E -4.60%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -6.36%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -5.23%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 07:04
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -7.78%E -4.60%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.40%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 06:41
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.64%EV -7.78%E -4.60%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -7.57%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-25 08:52
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -8.33%E -4.96%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.74%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 06:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -8.87%E -5.31%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.40%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 06:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.86%EV -9.42%E -5.67%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -14.07%E -3.61%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -9.91%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 06:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -9.96%E -6.04%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.66%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.40%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 11:40
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.96%E -6.04%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.46%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -11.08%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 06:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%EV -10.51%E -6.41%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -16.27%E -4.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -11.08%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-25 06:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.83%EV -11.06%E -6.78%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.33%EV -13.41%E -3.41%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.84%EV -13.89%E -3.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-25 06:23
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.61%EV -11.60%E -7.16%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.27%EV -14.07%E -3.61%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -15.76%E -4.38%K -6.06%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-25 06:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 54.55%EV -15.42%E -9.95%K -28.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.96%EV -15.17%E -3.94%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.49%EV -15.76%E -4.38%K -6.06%G +0.000%18.3%2026-10-25 06:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.81%5.1%2026-10-25 10:30
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 52.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.24%16.2%2026-10-25 06:25