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JEF United Chiba v Yokohama F Marinos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
JEF United Chiba (Local)
Prediction 27.22%3.67fair odd
EV +0.716%
Edge +0.193%
Kelly +0.265%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.29%27.15%27.21%28.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.383.403.7031.25%29.55%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yokohama F Marinos (Visit)
Prediction 45.63%2.19fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%45.73%45.66%47.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.002.002.1254.05%49.94%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.15%3.68fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.549%
Kelly -0.760%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.27%27.12%27.13%27.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.403.403.6131.25%29.41%29.41%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: JEF United Chiba (Local): 27.22%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visit): 45.63%; Draw: 27.15%. For JEF United Chiba (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.716%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV +0.716%E +0.193%K +0.265%G +0.002% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.26%EV -8.29%E -4.12%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.06%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 04:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -2.01%E -0.557%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -13.31%E -7.00%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 04:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.56%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -3.27%E -1.54%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.80%EV -1.98%E -0.549%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-17 04:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 04:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 04:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.25%E -0.626%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 04:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 04:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 04:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.09%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -7.83%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 04:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.09%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -7.83%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 04:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.09%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -5.55%E -2.68%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 04:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.09%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 04:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.18%EV -6.91%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.79%EV -7.37%E -3.63%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.02%EV -6.60%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 03:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 04:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 04:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 04:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.88%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 04:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.11%E -5.13%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 04:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.11%E -5.13%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 04:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.11%E -5.13%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 04:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.11%E -5.13%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 04:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.11%E -5.13%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 04:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.11%E -5.13%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 04:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 04:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.83%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.83%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 03:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -10.57%E -5.39%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 04:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -10.57%E -5.39%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 04:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 04:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 04:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 04:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 04:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-17 04:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-17 04:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-17 04:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.03%E -5.65%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-17 04:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.76%EV -11.03%E -5.65%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.20%EV -10.94%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-17 04:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -11.03%E -5.65%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-17 04:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -11.03%E -5.65%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-17 04:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -11.03%E -5.65%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-17 04:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -11.03%E -5.65%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-17 04:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -15.59%E -8.43%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-17 04:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 04:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.60%EV -13.76%E -7.28%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.29%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-17 04:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.50%EV -10.57%E -5.39%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-17 03:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 0.7% | 2026-10-17 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 1.5% | 2026-10-17 04:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 1.5% | 2026-10-17 04:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97% | 1.6% | 2026-10-17 04:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-10-17 04:50 |