Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

JEF United Chiba v V-Varen Nagasaki

2026-10-11 05:00 UTC — J League

Testa a testa

22 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

JEF United Chiba (Casa)

Previsione 33.98%2.94quota equa
EV -5.88%
Vantaggio -2.12%
Kelly -3.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.67%34.01%33.99%35.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.682.702.7740.00%37.36%37.11%36.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

V-Varen Nagasaki (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.99%2.63quota equa
EV -3.13%
Vantaggio -1.23%
Kelly -2.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.07%38.04%38.01%40.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.392.402.5546.51%41.81%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.03%3.57quota equa
EV -1.89%
Vantaggio -0.540%
Kelly -0.757%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.67%27.96%28.00%28.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.273.253.5032.26%30.54%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: JEF United Chiba (Casa): 33.98%; V-Varen Nagasaki (Trasferta): 37.99%; Pareggio: 28.03%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.57. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.50, con un valore atteso del -1.89%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.39%EV -5.88%E -2.12%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.26%EV -5.54%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 06:50
1xBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.56%EV -6.22%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.55%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.89%EV -4.13%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 06:35
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.89%E -0.540%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 07:00
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.82%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-04 06:05
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -9.58%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 05:50
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -9.58%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 05:51
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -9.58%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 05:55
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.26%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 07:15
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.26%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 07:16
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.26%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 07:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.26%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 07:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.60%EV -8.60%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -5.79%E -2.33%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.87%EV -6.38%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-04 06:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.84%EV -9.28%E -3.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.32%EV -15.28%E -6.85%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -11.70%E -3.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-04 05:49
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -9.95%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.89%E -0.540%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 07:04
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -9.95%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.89%E -0.540%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 07:03
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.95%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.82%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-04 07:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -9.95%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.27%EV -18.32%E -8.52%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.06%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-04 05:51
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -9.58%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-04 07:05
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -8.82%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-04 06:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -14.52%E -6.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-04 06:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.69%EV -13.35%E -5.24%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.04%EV -16.42%E -7.46%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.27%EV -11.70%E -3.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-04 06:15
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -15.05%E -6.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -12.62%E -5.49%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-04 07:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-10-04 06:45
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 33.03%2.24I 44.64%NM 38.34%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.63%16.4%2026-10-04 05:55