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JEF United Chiba v Gamba Osaka

2026-09-06 09:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

JEF United Chiba (Local)

Prediction 31.95%3.13fair odd
EV -5.73%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.71%31.95%31.95%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.902.902.9535.09%34.53%34.48%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gamba Osaka (Visit)

Prediction 41.19%2.43fair odd
EV -6.10%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.09%41.19%41.19%41.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.232.232.2845.45%44.77%44.84%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV -7.33%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.75%26.86%26.86%27.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.413.403.4529.41%29.29%29.41%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: JEF United Chiba (Local): 31.95%; Gamba Osaka (Visit): 41.19%; Draw: 26.86%. For JEF United Chiba (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.95, with an expected value of -5.73%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.73%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -6.10%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.73%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -6.10%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 09:05
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -7.33%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -7.33%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 09:05
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -8.16%E -3.66%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 09:05
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -8.16%E -3.66%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 09:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -8.16%E -3.66%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -8.16%E -3.66%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 09:05
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -8.16%E -3.66%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 09:05
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -8.16%E -3.66%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 09:05
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -8.16%E -3.66%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 09:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 09:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 09:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.39%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 09:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 35.46%1.67I 59.88%NM 29.09%1.37I 72.99%NM 35.46%105.9%2026-09-01 13:55