Language:English
JEF United Chiba v Gamba Osaka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
JEF United Chiba (Local)
Prediction 26.27%3.81fair odd
EV +0.337%
Edge +0.088%
Kelly +0.119%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.83%26.32%26.27%27.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.463.403.8230.30%28.89%29.41%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gamba Osaka (Visit)
Prediction 48.36%2.07fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.12%48.28%48.40%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.932.0255.56%51.75%51.81%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.37%3.94fair odd
EV -0.279%
Edge -0.071%
Kelly -0.095%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.40%25.40%25.33%26.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.583.553.9329.41%27.94%28.17%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: JEF United Chiba (Local): 26.27%; Gamba Osaka (Visit): 48.36%; Draw: 25.37%. For JEF United Chiba (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.337%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.85%EV +0.337%E +0.088%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.76%EV -9.57%E -5.12%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.40%EV -1.29%E -0.333%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.43%EV -6.67%E -3.45%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -2.31%E -0.600%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.43%EV -6.67%E -3.45%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -2.31%E -0.600%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.39%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -4.73%E -2.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.58%EV -0.279%E -0.071%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -4.25%E -2.15%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.58%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 08:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -6.67%E -3.45%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -6.67%E -3.45%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 07:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -5.97%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.06%EV -6.18%E -3.19%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 08:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 08:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -8.12%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -8.12%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.92%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.18%E -3.19%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.83%EV -10.05%E -5.40%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -12.95%E -7.20%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -9.92%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 08:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -9.92%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 08:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -6.18%E -3.19%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.92%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -9.08%E -4.83%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.12%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -9.57%E -5.12%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -9.57%E -5.12%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.63%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 08:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 08:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 08:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 08:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 08:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 08:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 08:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 08:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 08:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -12.01%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.70%EV -11.02%E -5.99%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -4.73%E -2.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 08:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -4.73%E -2.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 08:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -5.22%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 08:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -9.57%E -5.12%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 08:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.41% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.86% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74% | 2.3% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |