La scuola delle quote

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Vissel Kobe

Inizio: 2026-05-06 06:00 UTC

Finale: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC 1–1 Vissel Kobe

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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23 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Casa)

Previsione 40.71%2.46quota equa
EV -3.12%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -2.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.54%41.09%40.78%45.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.022.262.252.3849.50%44.30%44.44%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vissel Kobe (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.42%3.18quota equa
EV +8.41%
Vantaggio +2.44%
Kelly +3.43%
Crescita +0.289%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.64%31.05%31.36%32.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.932.903.4536.36%34.11%34.48%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.87%3.59quota equa
EV -1.90%
Vantaggio -0.538%
Kelly -0.752%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.04%27.86%27.86%28.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.273.253.5232.26%30.60%30.77%28.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -17.77%E -8.80%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV +8.41%E +2.44%K +3.43%G +0.289%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 20:55
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.67%EV -3.12%E -1.31%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -4.47%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.50%EV -1.90%E -0.538%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-06 05:55
BetAnything2.38I 42.02%NM 39.94%EV -3.12%E -1.31%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 05:45
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -6.38%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 05:29
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 05:29
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 05:30
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.72%EV -7.19%E -3.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.15%EV -6.36%E -2.13%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 05:34
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.38%EV -5.97%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -6.99%E -2.36%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -7.47%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 05:54
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.34%E -1.85%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 05:20
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.38%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 05:29
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.25%EV -10.45%E -4.75%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.08%EV -8.24%E -2.82%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.67%EV -8.58%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-06 05:34
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.38%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 05:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.38%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 05:29
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.38%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 05:30
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.38%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 05:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -12.48%E -5.81%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-06 05:34
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -10.45%E -4.75%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -9.50%E -3.30%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-06 05:55
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.45%E -4.75%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -10.44%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-06 05:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.60%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-06 05:30
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.60%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-06 05:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.60%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-06 05:29
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.60%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-06 05:30
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -12.48%E -5.81%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -13.58%E -4.94%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-06 05:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-05-06 05:50