La scuola delle quote

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Kyoto Purple Sanga

Inizio: 2026-02-27 10:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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23 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Casa)

Previsione 44.84%2.23quota equa
EV -2.25%
Vantaggio -1.03%
Kelly -1.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.22%44.82%44.92%46.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.892.022.022.1852.91%49.39%49.50%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.83%3.73quota equa
EV -0.731%
Vantaggio -0.198%
Kelly -0.271%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.29%26.88%26.82%27.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.393.353.7031.25%29.51%29.85%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.33%3.53quota equa
EV -4.53%
Vantaggio -1.34%
Kelly -1.91%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.09%28.30%28.26%29.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.213.203.3732.26%31.18%31.25%29.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.36%EV -2.25%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.94%EV -3.68%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.70%EV -4.53%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 09:54
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.83%E -2.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.10%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 09:53
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.83%E -2.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 09:54
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.83%E -2.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 09:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.83%E -2.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 09:54
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.85%EV -6.73%E -3.24%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -5.02%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 09:53
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.10%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 09:30
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 09:34
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 09:54
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-27 09:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.08%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-27 09:55
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -9.42%E -4.66%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 09:29
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -9.42%E -4.66%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 09:30
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -0.731%E -0.198%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.10%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 09:54
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -5.10%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-27 09:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-27 09:34
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-27 09:35
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-27 09:34
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.39%EV -13.01%E -6.71%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-27 09:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.89%EV -14.80%E -7.79%K -16.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.42%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.68%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-27 09:34
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.03%EV -15.25%E -8.07%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.62%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-27 09:49
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 45.64%EV -15.25%E -8.07%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -12.80%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-27 09:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.