La scuola delle quote

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Gamba Osaka

Inizio: 2026-03-14 06:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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23 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Casa)

Previsione 54.29%1.84quota equa
EV -5.00%
Vantaggio -2.86%
Kelly -6.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.55%54.33%54.31%56.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.581.691.701.7563.29%59.29%58.82%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gamba Osaka (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.04%4.75quota equa
EV +3.10%
Vantaggio +0.632%
Kelly +0.794%
Crescita +0.025%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.71%20.97%21.06%22.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.294.334.9025.00%23.28%23.09%20.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.67%4.05quota equa
EV -1.30%
Vantaggio -0.326%
Kelly -0.435%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.91%24.70%24.62%25.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.693.604.0028.57%27.13%27.78%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.15%EV -6.63%E -3.85%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.71%EV +3.10%E +0.632%K +0.794%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -1.30%E -0.326%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 05:50
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -9.34%E -5.59%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.22%E -0.699%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.77%E -0.967%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 00:05
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -5.54%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 05:54
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.63%E -3.85%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 05:54
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.29%EV -6.63%E -3.85%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.97%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 05:55
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -6.08%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 05:55
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.71%E -4.54%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 05:55
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.71%E -4.54%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 05:55
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.71%E -4.54%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 05:55
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.23%EV -7.71%E -4.54%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -8.48%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 05:54
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.23%EV -7.71%E -4.54%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -8.48%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 05:55
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -8.90%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 05:54
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -13.14%E -8.21%K -21.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.67%EV -10.58%E -2.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 05:51
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:55
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.80%E -5.24%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 05:54
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.71%E -4.54%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 05:54
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.02%EV -14.23%E -9.00%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.28%EV -11.67%E -3.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 05:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 53.98%EV -12.60%E -7.83%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.20%EV -13.74%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-14 05:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.34%E -5.59%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.84%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 05:55
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.34%E -5.59%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.84%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 05:54
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.34%E -5.59%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.84%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 05:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.34%E -5.59%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.84%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 05:55
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.78%EV -10.97%E -6.69%K -17.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -15.84%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.17%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-14 05:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.14%7.2%2026-03-14 05:55