L’École des cotesHiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Cerezo Osaka
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Local)
Prévision 58.65%1.71cote équitable
EV -5.58%
Avantage -3.46%
Kelly -9.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.35%58.46%58.73%59.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.571.571.6166.67%63.62%63.69%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cerezo Osaka (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.66%5.36cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -0.462%
Kelly -0.571%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.11%18.78%18.63%20.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.834.955.2323.26%20.69%20.20%19.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.69%4.41cote équitable
EV -4.69%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.02%22.76%22.64%23.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.004.004.2026.32%25.01%25.00%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (23 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.84%EV -5.58%E -3.46%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.11%EV -2.41%E -0.462%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.05%EV -6.73%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -5.58%E -3.46%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -16.03%E -3.56%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| BetAnything | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -8.57%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -7.34%E -4.64%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.84%E -0.949%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.50%EV -7.34%E -4.64%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -7.64%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -8.09%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.50%EV -7.34%E -4.64%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -7.64%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -8.09%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.92%E -5.05%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 11:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -7.92%E -5.05%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-20 11:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.92%E -5.05%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 06:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -7.92%E -5.05%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.37%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -9.10%E -5.87%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.77%EV -9.50%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.48%EV -8.09%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 16:16 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.10%E -5.87%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-20 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.10%E -5.87%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-20 11:29 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.10%E -5.87%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-20 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.10%E -5.87%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-20 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.90%EV -9.68%E -6.29%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -16.03%E -3.56%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.66%EV -10.86%E -7.14%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -11.37%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%EV -10.36%E -2.62%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.52%EV -12.03%E -8.02%K -24.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.07%EV -19.77%E -4.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.41%EV -12.63%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.24% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.12% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64% | 9.9% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |