Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gamba Osaka v Kyoto Purple Sanga

2026-10-24 07:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gamba Osaka (Local)

Prediction 40.64%2.46fair odd
EV -7.35%
Edge -3.22%
Kelly -5.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.64%40.64%40.64%40.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.252.252.2846.30%44.46%44.44%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visit)

Prediction 32.51%3.08fair odd
EV -6.37%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.33%32.51%32.51%32.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.842.852.8837.04%35.26%35.09%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV -6.01%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.66%26.86%26.86%26.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.443.453.5030.30%29.08%28.99%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Gamba Osaka (Local): 40.64%; Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visit): 32.51%; Draw: 26.86%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -6.01%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.35%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.37%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-19 07:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.35%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.37%E -2.21%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-19 07:05
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.64%EV -7.35%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-19 07:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.64%EV -7.35%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-19 07:05
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-19 07:05
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-19 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-19 07:04
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-19 07:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-19 07:04
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-19 07:05
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.57%E -3.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.35%E -2.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-19 07:03
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -9.38%E -4.21%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-19 07:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -9.38%E -4.21%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.98%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-19 07:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.74%EV -12.23%E -5.66%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -12.23%E -4.53%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-19 07:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 34.62%1.27I 78.74%NM 34.62%1.43I 69.93%NM 30.75%127.4%2026-10-19 12:50