La scuola delle quote

Gamba Osaka v Fagiano Okayama

Inizio: 2026-04-19 06:00 UTC

Finale: Gamba Osaka 2–2 Fagiano Okayama

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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22 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Gamba Osaka (Casa)

Previsione 54.21%1.84quota equa
EV -4.04%
Vantaggio -2.28%
Kelly -5.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.66%54.18%54.29%55.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.701.701.7761.73%58.97%58.82%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fagiano Okayama (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.88%5.03quota equa
EV +3.38%
Vantaggio +0.649%
Kelly +0.804%
Crescita +0.027%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.54%19.85%19.83%21.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.604.575.2023.81%21.73%21.86%19.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.91%3.86quota equa
EV -4.14%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.99%25.97%25.88%26.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.523.523.7029.41%28.42%28.37%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.41%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV +3.38%E +0.649%K +0.804%G +0.027%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 05:55
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.23%EV -7.30%E -4.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -0.600%E -0.120%K -0.150%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 05:55
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -7.30%E -4.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -3.58%E -0.739%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -7.77%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 05:54
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -4.58%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 05:45
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -4.58%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 05:45
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -4.58%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 05:45
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -4.58%E -0.953%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 05:45
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.14%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 05:55
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -7.56%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 05:45
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -7.56%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 05:45
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -10.01%E -6.03%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -8.55%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 05:45
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.87%EV -11.09%E -6.76%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.78%EV -9.55%E -2.10%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 05:45
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -4.04%E -2.28%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -10.54%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 05:25
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -10.54%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 05:40
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.92%E -5.31%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -12.53%E -2.85%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 05:45
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.46%EV -9.46%E -5.67%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -12.53%E -2.85%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 05:45
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.46%EV -9.46%E -5.67%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -12.53%E -2.85%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 05:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.46%EV -9.46%E -5.67%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -12.53%E -2.85%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 05:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.46%EV -9.46%E -5.67%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -12.53%E -2.85%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.92%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 05:45
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -13.92%E -3.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 05:45
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -13.92%E -3.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 05:40
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.10%EV -12.18%E -7.52%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -16.50%E -3.93%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 05:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 57.07%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.97%0.1%2026-04-19 05:50