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FC Tokyo v Yokohama F Marinos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Tokyo (Local)
Prediction 46.03%2.17fair odd
EV -5.64%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -5.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.96%46.03%46.08%47.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.982.002.0554.64%50.56%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yokohama F Marinos (Visit)
Prediction 26.45%3.78fair odd
EV -0.019%
Edge -0.005%
Kelly -0.007%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.44%26.45%26.40%27.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.443.503.7830.77%29.03%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.52%3.63fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.650%
Kelly -0.904%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.49%27.52%27.51%28.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.313.253.5531.25%30.23%30.77%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Tokyo (Local): 46.03%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visit): 26.45%; Draw: 27.52%. For Yokohama F Marinos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.781. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.780, with an expected value of -0.019%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.17%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.58%EV -0.019%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -2.31%E -0.650%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 04:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 03:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.43%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 04:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.64%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -7.02%E -3.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -8.08%E -2.42%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 04:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.02%E -3.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.43%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 04:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.43%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 04:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.43%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 04:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.43%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.56%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 04:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.43%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.56%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 04:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.43%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.56%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 04:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.43%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.56%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 04:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.56%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 04:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.63%EV -9.78%E -4.99%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 04:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.24%E -5.25%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.72%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-07 04:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.24%E -5.25%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.72%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-07 04:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.24%E -5.25%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.72%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-07 04:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.24%E -5.25%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.72%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-07 04:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%EV -12.54%E -6.60%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -14.04%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -9.19%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-07 04:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.41%EV -13.00%E -6.88%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.34%EV -11.92%E -3.58%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.24%EV -11.39%E -3.54%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-07 04:41 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.49%EV -13.92%E -7.45%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -12.72%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-07 04:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.54%EV -15.76%E -8.61%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 25.44%EV -9.54%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.02%EV -11.39%E -3.54%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-07 04:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.