Language:English
FC Tokyo v Urawa Red Diamonds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Tokyo (Local)
Prediction 55.23%1.81fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -6.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.61%55.17%55.13%55.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.681.681.7364.52%59.62%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit)
Prediction 21.56%4.64fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -0.661%
Kelly -0.850%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.64%21.56%21.61%22.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.294.334.5025.64%23.33%23.09%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.21%4.31fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.488%
Kelly -0.640%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.42%23.27%23.26%25.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.853.834.2227.78%25.95%26.14%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Tokyo (Local): 55.23%; Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit): 21.56%; Draw: 23.21%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.22, with an expected value of -2.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.13%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -14.13%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.13%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -14.13%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -2.97%E -0.661%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 06:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.13%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -14.13%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.13%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -14.13%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.85%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -4.05%E -0.911%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.69%EV -2.29%E -0.544%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 08:07 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.44%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 10:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.44%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -15.29%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -15.29%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -15.29%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -15.29%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -15.29%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -15.29%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -15.29%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.67%EV -5.56%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.49%EV -2.06%E -0.488%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.13%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 06:16 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.13%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 06:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.29%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 06:18 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -5.13%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -12.97%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.60%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -8.36%E -1.97%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -10.65%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 06:16 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.84%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -7.29%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -16.45%E -4.57%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.84%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -7.29%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -16.45%E -4.57%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -6.64%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 08:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.69%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.29%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 08:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -6.64%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.40%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -9.44%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.18%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -9.49%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 06:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.44%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 06:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.44%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.49%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.44%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.49%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.44%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.49%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.44%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.49%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 00:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.44%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.13%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -5.13%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.23%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -11.60%E -2.83%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -9.49%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -13.75%E -3.44%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-03 17:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.61%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.27%EV -15.91%E -4.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -16.45%E -4.57%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-05 06:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -11.63%E -7.27%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -13.75%E -3.44%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.16%EV -12.18%E -7.66%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -10.52%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -14.13%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-05 04:37 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.93%EV -14.39%E -9.29%K -26.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.64%EV -9.44%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.43%EV -14.13%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.27% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 11:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.47% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.19% | 16.5% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |