A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

FC Tokyo v Nagoya Grampus

Início: 2026-09-19 10:00 UTC

Final: FC Tokyo 1–0 Nagoya Grampus

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Tokyo (Local)

Previsão 53.92%1.85odd justa
EV -4.56%
Vantagem -2.57%
Kelly -5.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.41%53.94%53.92%55.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.711.711.7760.61%58.41%58.48%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nagoya Grampus (Visitante)

Previsão 22.36%4.47odd justa
EV -1.63%
Vantagem -0.370%
Kelly -0.478%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.06%22.37%22.34%23.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.134.204.4026.32%24.21%23.81%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.72%4.22odd justa
EV -0.143%
Vantagem -0.034%
Kelly -0.044%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.73%23.70%23.74%25.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.853.804.2127.78%25.96%26.32%23.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Tokyo (Local): 53.92%; Nagoya Grampus (Visitante): 22.36%; Empate: 23.72%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.22. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.21, com valor esperado de -0.143%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.56%E -2.57%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 04:30
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.61%EV -5.10%E -2.89%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.56%EV -4.76%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.83%EV -0.143%E -0.034%K -0.044%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.380%E -0.090%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.380%E -0.090%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 15:24
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.380%E -0.090%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 22:51
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 05:15
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.84%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.89%EV -2.52%E -0.578%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -2.75%E -0.671%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 11:44
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 13:20
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 11:35
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 11:35
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 13:20
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 14:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -8.68%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -8.68%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 10:05
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.63%E -0.370%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -12.24%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -12.24%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 05:15
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -12.24%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 05:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:15
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -2.75%E -0.671%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.68%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 10:05
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.68%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 10:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 10:05
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 10:05
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 10:05
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 10:05
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 10:05
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 10:05
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-17 13:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-17 17:30
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-17 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-17 17:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-17 17:29
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -8.87%E -5.25%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 13:18
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -15.04%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -12.24%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 05:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.98%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 10:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.38%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.40%EV -11.02%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.22%EV -12.71%E -3.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 05:13
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.37%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-17 13:15
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.04%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-16 04:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -11.03%E -6.68%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.8%2026-09-18 13:45
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 54.47%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%5.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%6.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%6.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%6.0%2026-09-18 15:30