L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

FC Tokyo v Nagoya Grampus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 10:00 UTC

Score final : FC Tokyo 1–0 Nagoya Grampus

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Tokyo (Local)

Prévision 53.92%1.85cote équitable
EV -4.56%
Avantage -2.57%
Kelly -5.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.41%53.94%53.92%55.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.711.711.7760.61%58.41%58.48%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Nagoya Grampus (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.36%4.47cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -0.370%
Kelly -0.478%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.06%22.37%22.34%23.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.134.204.4026.32%24.21%23.81%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.72%4.22cote équitable
EV -0.143%
Avantage -0.034%
Kelly -0.044%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.73%23.70%23.74%25.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.853.804.2127.78%25.96%26.32%23.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Tokyo (Local) : 53.92% ; Nagoya Grampus (Visiteur) : 22.36% ; Match nul : 23.72%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.22. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.21, pour une espérance de -0.143% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.56%E -2.57%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 04:30
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.61%EV -5.10%E -2.89%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.56%EV -4.76%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.83%EV -0.143%E -0.034%K -0.044%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.380%E -0.090%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.380%E -0.090%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 15:24
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.380%E -0.090%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 22:51
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 05:15
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.84%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.89%EV -2.52%E -0.578%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -2.75%E -0.671%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 11:44
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 13:20
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 11:35
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 11:35
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 13:20
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 14:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -8.68%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -8.68%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 10:05
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.63%E -0.370%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -12.24%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -12.24%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 05:15
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -12.24%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 05:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 10:15
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -2.75%E -0.671%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.68%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 10:05
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.68%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 10:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 10:05
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 10:05
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 10:05
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 10:05
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 10:05
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -4.98%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 10:05
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-17 13:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-17 17:30
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-17 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-17 17:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.61%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-17 17:29
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -8.87%E -5.25%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 13:18
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -15.04%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -12.24%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 05:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.98%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 10:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.38%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.40%EV -11.02%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.22%EV -12.71%E -3.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 05:13
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.37%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.05%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-17 13:15
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.04%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-16 04:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -11.03%E -6.68%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -3.86%E -0.898%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.12%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.8%2026-09-18 13:45
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 54.47%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%5.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%6.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%6.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%6.0%2026-09-18 15:30