The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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FC Tokyo v Mito HollyHock

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 07:03 UTC

Final: FC Tokyo 6–0 Mito HollyHock

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Tokyo (Local)

Prediction 70.52%1.42fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -7.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.43%70.64%70.56%72.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.321.3880.00%76.23%75.76%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mito HollyHock (Visit)

Prediction 10.64%9.40fair odd
EV +7.56%
Edge +0.748%
Kelly +0.830%
Growth +0.063%

assuming max odds 10.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.51%10.65%10.70%11.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.438.5010.1113.33%11.86%11.76%9.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.84%5.31fair odd
EV -0.162%
Edge -0.031%
Kelly -0.038%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.16%18.71%18.75%21.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.354.844.805.3022.99%20.68%20.83%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Tokyo (Local): 70.52%; Mito HollyHock (Visit): 10.64%; Draw: 18.84%. For Mito HollyHock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.40. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.80%G +0.000%10.11I 9.89%NM 9.51%EV +7.56%E +0.748%K +0.830%G +0.063%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.21%EV -0.539%E -0.102%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-25 06:51
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.19%EV -9.02%E -7.00%K -31.12%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV +3.73%E +0.383%K +0.427%G +0.016%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -3.93%E -0.770%K -0.958%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 06:25
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.02%EV -2.68%E -1.94%K -7.05%G +0.000%9.57I 10.45%NM 9.95%EV +1.82%E +0.190%K +0.212%G +0.004%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.03%EV -14.67%E -3.24%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 06:51
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.82%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV +1.07%E +0.113%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 05:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.49%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -4.25%E -0.472%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV -0.162%E -0.031%K -0.038%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 07:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.49%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -4.25%E -0.472%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV -0.162%E -0.031%K -0.038%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 07:00
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.49%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -4.25%E -0.472%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV -0.162%E -0.031%K -0.038%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 07:00
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.32%E -6.40%K -27.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -4.25%E -0.472%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 06:41
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.18%EV -10.44%E -8.22%K -38.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -4.25%E -0.472%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.63%EV -2.05%E -0.393%K -0.487%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 06:45
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.32%E -6.40%K -27.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -4.25%E -0.472%K -0.531%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -10.52%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 06:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.32%E -6.40%K -27.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -4.25%E -0.472%K -0.531%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -10.52%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 06:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.32%E -6.40%K -27.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -4.25%E -0.472%K -0.531%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -10.52%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 06:30
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.32%E -6.40%K -27.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -4.25%E -0.472%K -0.531%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -10.52%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 06:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.74%EV -11.85%E -9.48%K -47.38%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -4.25%E -0.472%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -0.162%E -0.031%K -0.038%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 07:00
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -11.85%E -9.48%K -47.38%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -4.25%E -0.472%K -0.531%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -10.52%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-25 06:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -11.85%E -9.48%K -47.38%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -4.25%E -0.472%K -0.531%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -10.52%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-25 06:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.89%EV -9.73%E -7.60%K -34.75%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.22%EV -6.91%E -0.789%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.88%EV -15.23%E -3.38%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-25 07:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.50%EV -6.91%E -5.23%K -21.59%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.70%EV -7.44%E -0.855%K -0.966%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.80%EV -6.76%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 06:10
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.56%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.64%EV -8.50%E -0.989%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -11.46%E -2.44%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 06:10
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.56%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.64%EV -8.50%E -0.989%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -11.46%E -2.44%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 06:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 06:05
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 06:25
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 06:05
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.03%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.70%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 06:35
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.46%EV -6.91%E -5.23%K -21.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 07:00
picklebet_au🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.46%EV -6.91%E -5.23%K -21.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 07:00
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.34%EV -6.91%E -5.23%K -21.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.35%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 05:20
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -8.32%E -6.40%K -27.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -9.57%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.52%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-22 02:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.23%K -21.59%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.01%EV -12.23%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -15.23%E -3.38%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 05:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.70%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 06:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.70%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 06:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.50%E -4.10%K -16.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 06:25
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.50%E -4.10%K -16.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 06:25
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 06:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 06:25
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 06:25
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 06:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 06:25
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 06:25
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 06:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -6.91%E -5.23%K -21.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -10.52%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 06:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -6.91%E -5.23%K -21.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -10.52%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 06:25
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.03%EV -11.85%E -9.48%K -47.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.94%EV -14.89%E -1.86%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.03%EV -13.35%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-25 06:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.56%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.81%EV -17.55%E -2.26%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 06:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.41%EV -9.02%E -7.00%K -31.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -20.21%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 06:10
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -8.32%E -6.40%K -27.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -20.21%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.35%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-25 06:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -8.32%E -6.40%K -27.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -20.21%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.35%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-25 06:25
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -8.32%E -6.40%K -27.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -20.21%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.35%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-25 06:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -8.32%E -6.40%K -27.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -20.21%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.35%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-25 06:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.18%EV -10.44%E -8.22%K -38.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -20.21%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.10%EV -13.35%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-25 06:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 68.43%EV -10.44%E -8.22%K -38.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.59%EV -20.21%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.98%EV -18.06%E -4.15%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-25 06:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.61%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.64%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75%0.6%2026-10-25 07:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.61%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.64%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75%0.6%2026-10-25 07:00
Matchbook◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.76%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-10-25 07:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.09%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.94%1.3%2026-10-25 07:00
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.59%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.81%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.60%2.2%2026-10-25 07:00
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.99%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.89%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.11%2.2%2026-10-25 07:00