L’École des cotesFC Tokyo v Kawasaki Frontale
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Tokyo (Local)
Prévision 49.81%2.01cote équitable
EV -3.86%
Avantage -2.00%
Kelly -4.15%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.52%49.69%49.87%50.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.851.851.9356.82%54.12%54.05%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Kawasaki Frontale (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.31%4.11cote équitable
EV -3.25%
Avantage -0.817%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.98
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.46%24.38%24.28%25.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.753.753.9828.17%26.68%26.67%25.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.88%3.86cote équitable
EV -2.95%
Avantage -0.787%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.39%25.93%25.85%26.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.523.503.7529.41%28.43%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (23 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.01%EV -3.86%E -2.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.25%EV -3.25%E -0.817%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.95%E -0.787%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -3.86%E -2.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -11.27%E -3.09%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -4.86%E -2.54%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -6.41%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.86%E -2.54%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.85%E -3.66%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 04:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.12%EV -7.35%E -3.95%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -6.65%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -5.80%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 04:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -8.13%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -8.13%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 03:40 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.84%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.84%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.84%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.84%E -4.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.84%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 04:45 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.84%E -4.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 04:20 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.84%E -4.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 04:21 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.84%E -4.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.84%E -4.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 04:21 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.84%E -4.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 04:21 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.23%EV -9.34%E -5.13%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.84%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.40%EV -10.34%E -5.74%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.69%EV -6.90%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 04:36 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -11.34%E -6.37%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -6.41%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 04:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.85%EV -12.33%E -7.01%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -13.70%E -3.86%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-02 04:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.44% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25% | 2.9% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |